Abstract: Described is a system for tracking and predicting social events. The system filters a time series of data obtained from a social media source. Enhanced filtered signals (EFS) are extracted from the filtered time series data based on an amplification signal obtained via a summation of signals relevant to a process of interest in the filtered time series data. A level of human social activity in the social media source is monitored by comparing the extracted EFS to an event database to detect an increase in a number of social activity events in the social media source compared to the event database.