Abstract: Provided herein are systems, methods, and apparatuses for improved logistics predictions. A computing device may receive a first shipment identifier and first shipment metadata (e.g., expected delivery date/time, etc.). The prediction engine may retrieve data related to a plurality of existing shipments using a same route for delivery as the first shipment. The prediction engine may use at least one survival model to determine an on-time delivery prediction for each of the plurality of existing shipments. The prediction engine may also use the at least one survival model to determine a first on-time delivery prediction for the first shipment. The prediction engine may cause the first shipment metadata to be modified based on the first on-time delivery prediction.