Abstract: Techniques are described for implementing automated control systems to control operations of specified physical target systems, such as with one or more batteries used to store and provide electrical power. Characteristics of each battery's state may be used to perform automated control of DC power from the battery, such as in a real-time manner and to optimize long-term operation of the battery. In some situations, multiple batteries are controlled by using multiple control systems each associated with one of the batteries, and with overall control being coordinated in a distributed manner using interactions between the multiple control systems. A system that includes one or more batteries to be controlled may further include additional components in some situations, such as one or more electrical sources and/or one or more electrical loads, with one non-exclusive example of a type of such system being one or more home electrical power systems.

Abstract: Techniques are described for implementing automated control systems that manipulate operations of specified target systems, such as by modifying or otherwise manipulating inputs or other control elements of the target system that affect its operation (e.g., affect output of the target system). An automated control system may in some situations have a distributed architecture with multiple decision modules that each controls a portion of a target system, and may further have one or more components that interacts with one or more users to obtain a description of the target system, including restrictions related to the various elements of the target system, and one or more goals to be achieved during control of the target system. The component(s) then perform various automated actions to generate, test and deploy one or more executable decision modules to use in performing the control of the target system based on the user-specified information.

Abstract: Techniques are described for reducing or dampening harmonics in a power signal to be supplied to a power system. The techniques may also be used to synchronize the power signal to be supplied to the power system with the power that is currently present on the power system. The techniques operate to step down the signals to be processed, process the signals using low-current op amps, and then step the signals back up to be transmitted on a high current system. The values of the circuit components may be determined by using a solution for an accompanying transfer function.

Abstract: Techniques are described for implementing automated control systems that manipulate operations of specified target systems, such as by modifying or otherwise manipulating inputs or other control elements of the target system that affect its operation (e.g., affect output of the target system). An automated control system may in some situations have a distributed architecture with multiple decision modules that each controls a portion of a target system and operate in a partially decoupled manner with respect to each other, such as by each decision module operating to synchronize its local solutions and proposed control actions with those of one or more other decision modules, in order to determine a consensus with those other decision modules. Such inter-module synchronizations may occur repeatedly to determine one or more control actions for each decision module at a particular time, as well as to be repeated over multiple times for ongoing control.

Abstract: Techniques are described for implementing automated control systems that manipulate operations of specified target systems, such as by modifying or otherwise manipulating inputs or other control elements of the target system that affect its operation (e.g., affect output of the target system). An automated control system may in some situations have a distributed architecture with multiple decision modules that each controls a portion of a target system, and may further have one or more components that interacts with one or more users to obtain a description of the target system, including restrictions related to the various elements of the target system, and one or more goals to be achieved during control of the target system. The component(s) then perform various automated actions to generate, test and deploy one or more executable decision modules to use in performing the control of the target system based on the user-specified information.

Abstract: Techniques are described for implementing automated control systems that manipulate operations of specified target systems, such as by modifying or otherwise manipulating inputs or other control elements of the target system that affect its operation (e.g., affect output of the target system). An automated control system may in some situations have a distributed architecture with multiple decision modules that each controls a portion of a target system and operate in a partially decoupled manner with respect to each other, such as by each decision module operating to synchronize its local solutions and proposed control actions with those of one or more other decision modules, in order to determine a consensus with those other decision modules. Such inter-module synchronizations may occur repeatedly to determine one or more control actions for each decision module at a particular time, as well as to be repeated over multiple times for ongoing control.

Abstract: Techniques are described for implementing automated control systems to control operations of specified physical target systems. In some situations, the described techniques include obtaining and analyzing sensor data about operations of a target system in order to generate an improved model of a current state of the target system, and using the modeled state information as part of determining further current and/or future automated control actions to take for the target system, such as to generate a function and/or other structure that models internal operations of the target system, rather than merely attempting to estimate target system output from input without understanding the internal structure and operations of the target system.

Abstract: Techniques are described for implementing automated control systems to control operations of specified physical target systems. In some situations, the described techniques include forecasting future values of parameters that affect operation of a target system, and using the forecasted future values as part of determining current automated control actions to take for the target system—in this manner, the current automated control actions may be improved relative to other possible actions that do not reflect such forecasted future values. Various automated operations may also be performed to improve the forecasting in at least some situations, such as by combining the use of multiple different types of forecasting models and multiple different groups of past data to use for training the models, and/or by improving the estimated internal non-observable state information reflected in at least some of the models.

Abstract: Techniques are described for implementing automated control systems to control operations of specified physical target systems, such as with one or more batteries used to store and provide electrical power. Characteristics of each battery's state may be used to perform automated control of DC power from the battery, such as in a real-time manner and to optimize long-term operation of the battery. In some situations, multiple batteries are controlled by using multiple control systems each associated with one of the batteries, and with overall control being coordinated in a distributed manner using interactions between the multiple control systems. A system that includes one or more batteries to be controlled may further include additional components in some situations, such as one or more electrical sources and/or one or more electrical loads, with one non-exclusive example of a type of such system being one or more home electrical power systems.

Abstract: Technologies are described to provide parameter estimation for a probabilistic forecaster in inventory management. A forecaster model may be generated based on observed delivery data, demand data, and a state of a delivery system managed by an inventory management service or an enterprise resource planning service. A probability of the state of the delivery system transitioning to a subsequent state of the delivery system may be determined based on an estimation of one or more parameters using a linear regression model. In some examples, the forecaster model may be derived from the discretized version of the linear Fokker-Planck equations using maximum log-likelihood estimate with optimization through a fast marching algorithm. In other examples, Lagrange multipliers may be used to determine initial constraints on the parameters. An optimal inventory level to be maintained may be computed based on the determined probability.

Abstract: A set of conditional rules (or transformations) that are effective for an article under analysis is identified. The set of rules is compressed into a single rule which is applied to a first quantity identifier that identifies a first quantity of the article, to obtain a second quantity. An order generation system generates an order based on the second quantity.

Abstract: A set of SKUs is divided into a plurality of different Mean Field clusters, and a tracker (or sensor) is identified for each cluster. Product decisions for each Mean Field cluster are generated based on the tracker (or sensor) and each Mean Field cluster is then deconstructed to obtain product decisions for individual SKUs in the Mean Field cluster. An interrogation system operates an interpretation of rules that were used to generate the product discussion.

Abstract: An optimization solver divides time-indexed historical data into intervals that have temporal boundaries. A discrete coefficient evaluator calculates coefficient values in a forecasting model at the temporal boundaries of the training data. An incremental parameter evaluator evaluates incremental parameter changes between the temporal boundaries in the training data. The incremental parameter evaluator updates the parameter values, based upon the incremental changes in the parameters, so that the updated parameter values can be used by the discrete coefficient evaluator for evaluating coefficient values at a next temporal boundary. The trained forecasting modes is deployed in a system to forecast phenomena.

Abstract: A set of SKUs is divided into a plurality of different Mean Field clusters, and a tracker (or sensor) is identified for each cluster. Product decisions for each Mean Field cluster are generated based on the tracker (or sensor) and each Mean Field cluster is then deconstructed to obtain product decisions for individual SKUs in the Mean Field cluster.

Abstract: Techniques are described for implementing automated control systems that manipulate operations of specified target systems, such as by modifying or otherwise manipulating inputs or other control elements of the target system that affect its operation (e.g., affect output of the target system). An automated control system may in some situations have a distributed architecture with multiple decision modules that each controls a portion of a target system, and may further have one or more components that interacts with one or more users to obtain a description of the target system, including restrictions related to the various elements of the target system, and one or more goals to be achieved during control of the target system. The component(s) then perform various automated actions to generate, test and deploy one or more executable decision modules to use in performing the control of the target system based on the user-specified information.

Abstract: Techniques are described for implementing automated control systems that manipulate operations of specified target systems, such as by modifying or otherwise manipulating inputs or other control elements of the target system that affect its operation (e.g., affect one or more outputs of the target system). An automated control system for such a target system may in some situations have a distributed architecture that provides cooperative distributed control of the target system, such as with multiple decision modules that each control a portion of the target system and operate in a partially decoupled manner with respect to each other, with the various decision modules' operations being at least partially synchronized and each having a consensus with one or more other decision modules, even if a fully synchronized convergence of all decision modules at all times is not guaranteed.

Abstract: Techniques are described for implementing automated control systems that manipulate operations of specified target systems, such as by modifying or otherwise manipulating inputs or other control elements of the target system that affect its operation (e.g., affect output of the target system). An automated control system may in some situations have a distributed architecture with multiple decision modules that each controls a portion of a target system and operate in a partially decoupled manner with respect to each other, such as by each decision module operating to synchronize its local solutions and proposed control actions with those of one or more other decision modules, in order to determine a consensus with those other decision modules. Such inter-module synchronizations may occur repeatedly to determine one or more control actions for each decision module at a particular time, as well as to be repeated over multiple times for ongoing control.

Abstract: Techniques are described for implementing automated control systems that manipulate operations of specified target systems, such as by modifying or otherwise manipulating inputs or other control elements of the target system that affect its operation (e.g., affect output of the target system). An automated control system may have one or more decision modules that each controls at least some of a target system, with each decision module's control actions being automatically determined to reflect near-optimal solutions with respect to or one more goals and in light of a target system model having multiple inter-related constraints, such as based on a partially optimized solution that is within a threshold amount of a fully optimized solution. Such determination of one or more control actions to perform may occur for a particular time and particular decision module, as well as be repeated over multiple times for ongoing control.

Abstract: The current document is directed to methods and systems for estimating values that could be derived from a large data set, were it available, from values computed from an available smaller data set. A specific example of the currently described methods and systems are methods and systems that estimate various medical-record-related statistics and values computed from hypothetical datasets. In order to extrapolate the desired statistics and computed values from the observed smaller data set, multiple models are employed by the currently disclosed methods and systems. These models can be employed sequentially to generate relatively fine-grained estimates over various multi-dimensional data-set volumes.

Abstract: A collection of rules are translated into a mathematical constraint model for a business application to effectively encode the knowledge, apply the model, and suggest results in a highly consistent, highly performant manner. An integrated feedback mechanism enables the system to learn weights and relationships between related rules that may not be obvious to the knowledge workers and to detect the emergence of new factors for adjustments to the model. Constraints that may affect the outcome of the optimization may be considered instead of all constraints allowing the optimizer to run much more quickly. Parallelism may be enabled allowing execution of multiple optimization processes to evaluate multiple scenarios. Furthermore, outcome of the optimizations may be explained back to the user by providing the constraints that were considered.