CANNABIS CULTIVATION TEST
Systems and methods are disclosed to determine that a cannabis plant has been cultivated under desired cultivation conditions. Quantitative processes are disclosed, based on stable carbon isotope ratio analysis, and using modeling constraints and Bayesian approaches to produce a likelihood that a cannabis plant was cultivated under desired conditions (e.g., indoors), and provide a quantitative estimate of the average CO2 concentration in the growth environment.
This application, under 35 U.S.C. §119, claims the benefit of U.S. Provisional Patent Application Ser. No. 62/324,500 filed on Apr. 19, 2016, and entitled “Cannabis Indoor Cultivation Test,” the contents of which are hereby incorporated by reference herein.
FIELD OF THE DISCLOSUREThe disclosure relates generally to systems and methods for determining the cultivation conditions of cannabis plant material. In particular, the disclosure relates to systems and methods for implementing a stable isotope test to determine the cultivation conditions of cannabis plant material.
BACKGROUNDThere is a legal and regulatory need to impartially determine, certify, or verify that a cannabis plant, or cannabis product, was produced under certain cultivation conditions. For example, currently, almost all states within the United States where cannabis is legal (typically as “medicinal marijuana”), 20 of 23 states (as of January 2016) require that the cannabis be cultivated indoors. These regulations occur at both the state and municipal levels. Yet at present there are no quantifiable tests or processes in the marketplace that can confidently identify a cannabis plant that has been cultivated indoors versus a cannabis plant that was cultivated outdoors.
The existing need is for an independent, analytical, and reliable test that is based on a combination of quantitative measurements and statistical analyses, and that is not a test based on either personal, experiential observations, or an approach that relies on the use of printed labels attached to the plant. One advantage of an analytical and quantitative measurement approach is that it can be conducted by many analytical facilities to reach the same conclusion and to ensure reliable quantitative results, independent of the analyst or laboratory. This is the kind of testing approach called for by the National Research Council. In contrast, experiential observations can be subject to personal judgment biases and influenced by the depth of the analyst's experience, leading to different and often conclusions. Labels (e.g., tags, bar codes, RFID chips) attached to plants offer no guarantee that the material has been indeed cultivated indoors. Indeed such labels can be added afterward to a cannabis plant cultivated under either indoor or outdoor conditions, especially when a chain-of-custody process is not in place.
At present there are no reliable analytical tests available to determine, certify, or verify that a plant or plant product had been produced as a result of determinable cultivation conditions. For example, there are currently no available tests or processes to reliably and quantitatively indicate that a plant was cultivated indoors. The present disclosure provides new, quantitative, and reliable tests or processes to verify, certify, and proclaim that cannabis was cultivated under determinable conditions, such as indoors, as required by state laws and regulations.
Stable isotopes at natural abundance levels are nature's recorders, storing aspects of the environmental conditions in the organic compounds within the plant, plant organs, and plant compounds. Historically, stable isotopes at natural abundance levels have been used to source the origins of controlled substances, such as cocaine and heroin. Recent studies of stable isotope abundances—measured as ratios—in cannabis have been used to source the cultivation conditions and origins of the cannabis. While three publications have noted that cannabis plants cultivated indoors could be distinguished from cannabis plants cultivated outdoors, none of these studies developed the analytical tools or unbiased processes to reliably categorize plant cultivation conditions. The three publications are: Tricia N. Denton, et al., Natural Abundance of Stable Carbon and Nitrogen Isotopes in Cannabis Sativa Reflects Growth Conditions, 28 Aust. J. Plant Physiol., 1005-1012 (2001); Jason B. West, et al., Stable Isotope Ratios of Marijuana. I. Carbon and Nitrogen Stable Isotopes Describe Growth Conditions, 54, no. 1, J. Forensic Sci., 84-89 (January 2009); and Amanda L. Booth, et al., Tracing Geographic and Temporal Trafficking Patterns for Marijuana in Alaska Using Stable Isotopes (C, N, O and H), 202 Forensic Sci. Int'l., 45-53 (2010), each of which is incorporated herein by reference. Instead, each of these studies simply placed cannabis plants into an indoor versus outdoor classification based on an arbitrary threshold isotope value. Other drawbacks of existing identification processes also exist.
Disclosed herein are systems and processes that rely on different theoretical framework for interpreting stable isotopes ratios, network analyses, and Bayesian interpretations to certify the likelihood that the cannabis had been cultivated under determinable conditions, such as indoors, and provide a quantitative measure of the average indoor CO2 concentration during plant growth. Other advantages also exist.
SUMMARYAs used herein, “cannabis” means the leaf, stem, seed, root, a specific compound from, flower parts of, and/or any product from a Cannabis species (e.g., Cannabis sativa L., Cannabis indica Lam., Cannabis ruderalis Janish.), and includes both “marijuana” and “hemp,” two genetically distinct forms of cannabis that are distinguished on the basis of the relative abundances of different cannabinoids, as well as any variety of the above species, cultivar of the above species, or hybrid between the above species.
The terms “bulk plant material” refers to different plant parts (i.e., organs) be they intact or ground. Bulk plant material may consist of any combination of leaves, seeds, flowers, stems, roots, and the like from a cannabis plant.
The terms “cultivation condition” refers generally to the conditions under which a plant is grown. As used herein, cultivation condition means the environment in which a plant is grown (e.g., indoors, outdoors, etc.), the farming practice (e.g., intensive, hobby, hydroponic, aeroponic, etc.), the geographical location in which a plant is grown (e.g., California, Colorado, etc.), the ecosystem in which a plant is grown (e.g., forest, desert, riparian, etc.), the soil conditions in which a plant is grown (e.g., alkaline, acidic, etc.), the water stress level in which a plant is grown, or the like.
The terms “indoor cultivation” or “cultivated indoors” mean cultivation in any enclosed space used for plant cultivation, including, but not limited to, greenhouses, glass houses, hot houses, buildings, warehouses, or similar enclosed structures. Thus, indoor cultivation is the growth location of plants in an environment where the indoor air supplies are fully or partially isolated from outside air. Indoor air spaces may or may not be directly connected to outside air through openings and/or ventilation systems.
The terms “outdoor cultivation” or “cultivated outdoors” mean cultivation in any unenclosed space used for plant cultivation, including, but not limited to, fields, pastures, farms, gardens, and the like. Thus, outdoor cultivation or cultivated outdoors are the growth location of plants in an environment where the air supplies are fully utilizing only outside air from the atmosphere.
A “nuclide” is defined herein as an atomic species containing a specific number of protons and neutrons within its nucleus. An “element” is a nuclide defined herein by the number of protons within its nucleus. A “stable isotope” is defined herein as a nuclide that does not undergo radioactive decay over time, but persists in the same configuration with respect to the number of protons and neutrons within the nucleus. The terms “stable isotopes” refers herein to multiple nuclides of the same element. For example, the element carbon has two stable nuclides: 12C and 13C, each with six protons but one nuclide (12C) having six neutrons while the other nuclide (13C) contains seven neutrons.
As used herein, the terms “stable isotope ratio” are terms that describe the relationship of the ratio of the molar abundances of the heavy-to-light stable nuclides of an element in a substance (solid, liquid, or gas; pure, or a mixture) relative to the ratio of the molar abundances of the heavy-to-light stable nuclides of an element in an internationally accepted standard reference material. Specifically, the stable isotope value is defined in “delta notation” (δ) as:
δ=(Rsample/Rstandard−1),
where Rsample is the molar abundances of the heavy-to-light stable nuclides of an element in the sample and Rstandard is the molar abundances of the heavy-to-light stable nuclides of an element in an internationally recognized standard. These δ-values are typically small numbers and are often presented in multiples of 10−3 or parts per thousand (“per mil,” symbol ‰). As disclosed herein, the carbon isotope ratio (δ13C) is utilized, where R refers to 13C/12C. For carbon isotope values, the international standard is Vienna Pee Dee Belemnite (VPDB), which has a 13C/12C ratio of 0.0112372. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), or the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST), or the like, distributes VPDB to analytical laboratories.
As used herein, the term “isotope ratio mass spectrometer (IRMS)” is the name applied to specialized and commercially available instruments for the measurement of carbon isotope ratios in a sample and its comparison to international standards. Commercially available combustion devices are coupled to the IRMS to facilitate conversion of a sample from its original organic form into gases that are analyzed by the IRMS.
The terms “likelihood ratio” means a statistical evaluation of the ratio of the probability that a measurement observation could have occurred as a result of plant cultivation under one set of cultivation conditions to the probability that a measurement observation could have occurred as a result of that plant's cultivation under different cultivation conditions.
The term “database” means an accumulation of authentic measurements or observations and associated metadata. The term “model” means any mathematical construction of a relationship among different variables.
The terms “measure,” “measured,” and “measurement” mean any analytical process that provides quantitative evaluations on the identity, quantity, and/or abundance of a substance or mixture of substances. As used herein, a measurement is meant to include stable isotope ratio measurements.
The terms “determine,” “determined,” and “determination” mean establishing or ascertaining a conclusion based on an analytical measurement or a combination of analytical measurements on a sample material. The terms “verify,” “verified,” and “verification” mean a conclusion that a determination is true, justified, and accurate. A “verification” is based on the application of measurements, likelihood ratio analyses, and evaluations in comparison to observations in a database. The terms “certify,” “certified,” or “certification” means a confirmation that a determination has been verified.
Accordingly, disclosed embodiments include a cannabis cultivation condition determination system comprising an isotope measurement portion for measuring a carbon isotope value of a cannabis sample, and a computational portion further comprising a processor and a database comprising authentic material carbon isotope values. As disclosed, the processor executes one or more programs to classify the measured carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample against one or more threshold criteria relating to the likelihood of being cultivated under specific conditions. In addition the processor executes one or more programs to evaluate whether the measured carbon isotope value is above or below the one or more threshold criteria. In addition the processor executes one or more programs to further classify a below-threshold measured carbon isotope value by comparing a probability density function describing the authentic material carbon isotope values, and, based on the comparison, determines a below-threshold likelihood ratio that the below-threshold measured carbon isotope value is consistent with the likelihood the cultivation condition has occurred.
In further embodiments, the system may include a sample preparation portion for preparing the cannabis sample for measurement in the isotope measurement portion.
Further embodiments of the system may also include a certification portion for certifying that the cultivation condition has, or has not, occurred based, at least in part, on the classification of the measured carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample, or the classification of the below-threshold measured carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample.
In some embodiments, the one or more threshold criteria are calculated based, at least in part, on the carbon isotope value of a leaf or plant tissues (δ13Cplant) as δ13Cplant=δ13Cair−a−(b−a)×ci/ca, where a (4.4‰) and b (27‰) are constants representing the diffusion fractionation against 13CO2 and the net fractionation against 13CO2 during photosynthesis, respectively, and ci/ca, is the ratio of intercellular to ambient CO2 levels inside and outside of a leaf or plant tissue.
In some embodiments, the probability density function is calculated using a Bayesian approach describing a known distribution of the authentic material carbon isotope values. In further embodiments, the known distribution of the authentic material carbon isotope values is for authentic material cultivated indoors. In further embodiments, the known distribution of the authentic material carbon isotope values is for authentic material cultivated outdoors.
Also disclosed is a method for determining a cannabis cultivation condition comprising obtaining a carbon isotope value of a cannabis sample and executing on a processor one or modules to perform the following steps of classifying the carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample against one or more threshold criteria relating to a likelihood a cultivation condition has occurred, evaluating whether the carbon isotope value is above or below the one or more threshold criteria, further classifying a below-threshold carbon isotope value by accessing a database of authentic material isotope values and comparing a probability density function describing the authentic material isotope values, and, based on the comparison, determining a below-threshold likelihood ratio that the below-threshold carbon isotope values is consistent with the likelihood the cultivation condition has occurred.
In further embodiments, the method further comprises obtaining a carbon isotope value. In further embodiments, the step of obtaining a carbon isotope value of a cannabis sample further comprises measuring the stable carbon isotope ratio. In further embodiments, the method includes preparing the cannabis sample for measurement of the carbon isotope value. In still further embodiments, the method includes certifying that the cultivation condition has, or has not, occurred based, at least in part, on the classification of the carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample, or the classification of the below-threshold carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample.
Other embodiments of the systems and methods are also possible.
While the disclosure is susceptible to various modifications and alternative forms, specific embodiments have been shown by way of example in the drawings and will be described in detail herein. However, it should be understood that the disclosure is not intended to be limited to the particular forms disclosed. Rather, the intention is to cover all modifications, equivalents and alternatives falling within the spirit and scope of the invention as defined by the appended claims.
DETAILED DESCRIPTIONIn general, some embodiments of the disclosed method 100 for certifying a cultivation condition may include the steps as described below and with reference to
Second, at 115, the stable carbon isotope ratio of the sample is measured, for example using a flash elemental analyzer 302 coupled to an isotope ratio mass spectrometer 304, and the carbon isotope value of the sample is expressed on an accepted scale.
As indicated schematically on
In addition, computational portion 40 may include a back-end component (e.g., as a data server), or a middleware component (e.g., an application server), or a frontend component (e.g., a client computer having a graphical user interface or a Web browser through which a user may interact with an implementation of the subject matter described herein), or any combination of such back-end, middleware, or frontend components. The components of the system may be interconnected by any form or medium of digital data communication (e.g., a communication network). Examples of communication networks include a local area network (“LAN”), a wide area network (“WAN”), and the Internet.
Embodiments of computational portion 40 may include clients and servers. A client and server are generally remote from each other and typically interact through a communication network. The relationship of client and server arises by virtue of computer programs running on the respective computers and having a client-server relationship to each other.
Additionally, processor 402 may be able to operate autonomously or collaboratively based on programming parameters and the communication network to include a peer-to-peer relationship, communications and decision making between multiple peers independently or under the instruction of a client-server system.
Computer program instructions may be provided to processor 402, which may be part of a general purpose computer, special purpose computer, or other programmable data processing apparatus to produce a machine, such that the instructions, which execute via processor 402 implement the functions/acts specified on the schematic illustration in
Resuming with the third step, at 120, the sample's carbon isotope value is classified using a theoretical model and threshold concept to evaluate, at 125, a desired cultivation condition of the sample to a desired level of certainty. Thus, this step 120 either determines, at 130, that the cannabis sample was cultivated using the desired cultivation condition (e.g., P[cond.1]=indoor cultivation) with the desired reliability and, conversely, that the opposite reciprocal cultivation condition (e.g., P[cond.2]=outdoor cultivation) is unlikely, or results in a requirement, at 135, that the cannabis sample be further evaluated for the likelihood that it was cultivated with the desired cultivation condition.
Fourth, for cannabis samples not classified as using the desired cultivation condition in steps 120, 125, further evaluation of the measured carbon isotope value is then processed, at 135, using a Bayesian likelihood ratio concept, by comparing the observed carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample with observations of a database 404 set of authenticated cannabis observations, as indicated at 135A. For example, the cultivation condition being evaluated could be whether the cannabis was cultivated indoors, and thus, the probability density function for indoor cultivation (e.g., P[cond.1]=X) is evaluated at 136 and the probability density function for outdoor cultivation (e.g., P[cond.2]=Y) is evaluated at 138. As a result, after step 130, and if necessary, step 135-135A, there is a determination, at 140, of whether the desired cultivation condition was used and the associated likelihood that this determination is correct.
In a fifth step, a translation of the measured carbon isotope value to a numerical score, at 145, that represents the degree to which the desired cultivation condition was associated with the determined cultivation condition (e.g., indoor air). Negative scores indicate outdoor cultivation. A score of zero indicates equal likelihood of either indoor or outdoor cultivation. A positive score indicates indoor cultivation. The more positive the numerical score, the greater the extent of indoor air used for that plant's growth.
In a sixth step, for numerical scores in step 145 that verify the desired cultivation condition was used, a certification can be issued at 150 (e.g., using certification portion 50). The certification is designed to meet any state, or other, requirements that the cannabis was cultivated using the desired cultivation condition.
Sample preparation portion 20 is where a cannabis sample is prepared for measurement, analysis, and certification as described herein with reference to step 110. Generally, the preparation of a biological tissue for carbon isotope analysis is a routine procedure as is known to those skilled in the art. For example, an identifier assignment portion 202 may assign a unique identifier to each cannabis sample received for analysis and/or for cultivation interpretation. The unique identifier is used, among other things, to ensure a verifiable “chain-of-custody” for the sample and “follows” the sample throughout the preparation, measurement, and analysis processes described herein.
Next, the uniquely identified sample may be dried in a dryer 204. For example, in some embodiments, cannabis samples may be dried in a 50° C. oven for 48 hours. Other drying procedures are also possible.
After drying, the sample may be pulverized in a pulverizer 206. For example, in some embodiments, 100-200 mg of dried cannabis material may be pulverized with a ceramic mortar and pestle until the sample is ground and homogenized. Other pulverizing procedures are also possible.
In some embodiments, the pulverized samples may be stored for later analysis. For example, using 7.6×7.6 cm weigh paper (as sold by VWR, Radnor, Pa.) the pulverized sample may be transferred to a clean 4-ml glass vials (as sold by VWR, Radnor, Pa.) and stored in a cool, dry place until needed for further analysis. Other storage procedures are also possible.
Next, a desired mass of sample cannabis material may be measured, for example, with a balance 208 (such as a microbalance sold by Sartorius, Goettingen, Germany). For example, in some embodiments, 300-400 μg of pulverized cannabis material may be measured out into an appropriate container or capsule 210. For example, in some embodiments, capsule 210 may comprise a 3.5×5 mm tin capsule (as sold by Costech Analytical, Inc., Valencia, Calif.). The capsule 210 may be sealed by folding or other means to prevent the loss of sample prior to analysis. Other encapsulation procedures are also possible.
After encapsulation, the samples may again be stored until further analysis is desired. Storage is again performed in a manner that preserves the unique identifier and verifiable chain-of custody. For example, the weighed samples may be stored in a plastic tray with numbered wells. Other storage procedures are also possible.
As disclosed herein, once samples are prepared, isotopes may be measured in isotope measurement portion 30 and discussed above with reference to step 115. For example, the stable carbon isotope ratio of a cannabis sample may be determined using a flash elemental analyzer 302 coupled to an isotope ratio mass spectrometer 304. The result is the carbon isotope value of a cannabis sample expressed on an internationally accepted scale. This measurement can be completed in a number of different ways on any of a number of different commercially available isotope ratio mass spectrometers 304, for which there are a range of models from various manufacturers.
For example, the procedures to measure a carbon isotope value for a cannabis sample may be as follows. First, load a weighed capsule containing a sample into a zero-blank autosampler fitted with a 50-sample carousel (such as an autosampler sold by Costech Analytical, Inc., Valencia, Calif.) attached to a Costech ESC 4010 elemental analyzer 302 interfaced via a ConFlo (such as one sold by Thermo Scientific, Waltham, Mass.) to a MAT 253 (such as one sold by Thermo Scientific, Waltham, Mass.) isotope ratio mass spectrometer 304. Once loaded, the samples may be analyzed using established standard operating procedures for the above-identified types of devices.
In some embodiments, for control purposes it may be desirable to analyze each sample in duplicate alongside a set laboratory reference materials (RMs), which had previously been calibrated to the international carbon isotope scale (VPDB). For example, a set of three RMs may be used. RMs may include two primary laboratory reference materials for stretch-shift normalization and a secondary laboratory reference material for quality control.
After analysis, a carbon isotope value is reported in “delta” notation:
δ13C=[(Rsample/Rstandard)−1],
where R represents the 13C/12C abundance ratio, and Rsample and Rstandard are the ratios in the sample and standard, respectively.
After the carbon isotope value is measured and quality control checked, a cultivation condition may be determined, as discussed above with reference to steps 120, 125, 130, 135, 135A, 140, and 145, using computational portion 40 which may comprise any suitable processor 402 (e.g., a desktop, laptop, or other computer) in communication with database 404. In the following example, the cultivation condition to be determined is whether the cannabis sample was grown with indoor cultivation. However, other cultivation conditions may also be determined in a similar manner.
First, the carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample is evaluated, as discussed with reference to step 125, in comparison to the upper and lower limits of carbon isotope values that are theoretically possible for outdoor cultivated cannabis plants and for indoor cultivated cannabis plants. There are two possible outcomes of these calculations as applied to the decision tree analysis: (1) virtually certain that the cannabis was indoor cultivated (e.g., with 99-100% reliability), or (2) it is possible that cannabis was either outdoor cultivated or indoor cultivated (e.g., <99% reliability).
In the publications G. D. Farquhar, et al., On the Relationship Between Carbon Isotope Discrimination and the Intercellular Carbon Dioxide Concentration in Leaves, 9 Aust. J. Plant Physiol., 121-37 (1982) and G. D. Farquhar, et al., Carbon Isotope Discrimination and Photosynthesis, 40 Annual Rev. Plant Physiol. Plant Mol. Biol., 503-37 (1989), each of which is incorporated herein by reference, Farquhar and colleagues developed the theory to explain observed variations in the carbon isotope values of C3-photosynthesis plants, which includes all Cannabis sp. That theory has been extensively tested and is accepted. Carbon isotope values vary in C3 plants for two primary reasons: (1) variations in the carbon isotope value of the CO2 (air) in the growth environment (δ13Cair) and (2) because of variations in the ratio of intercellular to ambient CO2 levels inside and outside of a leaf (ci/ca). Using Farquhar's original terminology and equation, the carbon isotope value of a leaf or plant tissues (δ13Cplant) can be predicted as:
δ13Cplant=δ13Cair−a−(b−a)×ci/ca (Equation 1),
where a (4.4‰) and b (27‰) are constants representing the diffusion fractionation against 13CO2 and the net fractionation against 13CO2 during photosynthesis, respectively.
Predicting the theoretical ranges of carbon isotope values of cannabis requires an understanding of possible ranges in the carbon isotope value of the CO2 in the growth environment (δ13Cair) and possible ranges in the ratio of intercellular to ambient CO2 levels (ci/ca). Whenever plants are grown with indoor cultivation, leaf photosynthesis consumes CO2 within these enclosed spaces, which must then be replenished if plants are to continue to grow. The cultivation CO2 within an indoor facility can typically come from at least one of five possible sources: (a) outside atmospheric air, (b) commercially available CO2 generators supplementing outside atmospheric CO2, (c) external combustion sources (e.g., power generations, furnaces, boilers, etc.) supplementing outside atmospheric CO2, (d) commercially available tank or bottled CO2 or frozen CO2 (i.e., dry ice) supplementing outside atmospheric CO2, or (e) biological respiratory processes, such CO2 from decomposing matter, soils, humans, and plants.
The CO2 surrounding a plant is used for photosynthesis, which is converted into the organic carbon in plants. For plants grown with outdoor cultivation, the source of CO2 is the atmosphere. For plants grown with indoor cultivation, the source of the CO2 is typically a mix of atmospheric and supplied sources. The naturally occurring carbon isotope values of CO2 in outside atmospheric air range from −9‰ to −8‰. Commercial CO2 generators produce CO2 by combusting natural gas that has naturally occurring carbon isotope values of −80‰ to −30‰, resulting in production of CO2 with similar carbon isotope values, making the δ13C values of CO2 produced from commercial CO2 generators more negative and distinguishable from naturally occurring atmospheric CO2. Commercial CO2 generators are the most common approach for commercial indoor cultivation. External combustion sources combust coal or natural gas to produce CO2. This CO2 is cleaned of residual particulates and transported to the indoor growth facility. The carbon isotope value of CO2 generated from combustion of fossil fuels (e.g., coals and natural gas) are lower than −25‰, again making the δ13C values of CO2 produced from the combustion of fossil fuels more negative and distinguishable from naturally occurring atmospheric CO2. Other sources of CO2 include bottled CO2, available as high-pressure cylinders (such as those commercially supplied by suppliers such as AirGas, Linde, and Praxair) or low-pressure cylinders (such as those used in the soft drink industry). Commercially bottled CO2 exhibits a range of carbon isotope values, reflecting biological sources (−28‰ to −24‰) and geological sources (−60‰ to −30‰ and −5‰ to +1‰), again making the δ13C values of bottled CO2 more negative and distinguishable from naturally occurring atmospheric CO2. Lastly, the carbon isotope values of biologically derived CO2 range from −30‰ to −15‰, depending on the extent of C3 and C4 photosynthetic sources contributing to the respiration ending up as CO2 in the atmosphere. The δ13C values of biologically derived CO2 are more negative and distinguishable from naturally occurring atmospheric CO2.
Under current conditions, commercially available CO2 generators and commercially available bottled CO2 tanks are the most viable options to provide adequate CO2 levels critical to promoting indoor cultivation. Less commonly, open glasshouse windows combined with high velocity fans (i.e., to draw in atmospheric CO2), but without CO2 generators, may still be found in some older facilities. Lastly, the fluxes of CO2 derived from biological sources in an enclosed setting are small and, thus, have a limited capacity to serve as a contributing CO2 source.
Turning now to the intercellular CO2 concentration within a leaf (ci), it is always less than the CO2 concentration in the ambient air outside of a leaf (ca), as photosynthesis reduces cellular CO2, and thus, ci/ca is always less than 1. On average, the ci/ca of a C3 plant, such as cannabis, is 0.7. A sensitivity analysis found that the natural range of ci/ca is 0.50 to 0.81. Within natural settings, hanging gardens produced leaves with the most negative carbon isotope values, averaging −31.1‰ for six herbaceous plants in an extremely moist and shaded vegetation; this carbon isotope value reflects a ci/ca of 0.82 when the atmospheric and leaf carbon isotope values are inserted in Equation 1 (above). In contrast, very water stressed plants result in a naturally occurring ci/ca of 0.50.
Based on Equation 1 (above), the range of carbon isotope values of CO2 in air, and the ci/ca described in the previous paragraph, the lower and upper limits of carbon isotope values of cannabis are calculated (e.g., using processor 402) as follows: (a) cultivated outdoors (Table 1), (b) cultivated indoors using a commercial CO2 generator (Table 2), (c) cultivated indoors using bottled CO2 of biological origin (Table 3), (d) cultivated indoors using bottled CO2 that is of fossil fuel origin (Table 4), (e) cultivated indoors using bottled CO2 that is of geothermal origin (Table 5), and (f) cultivated indoors at a CO2 level typical of indoor cultivation practices (1.500 ppm) using CO2 from a commercial CO2 generator (Table 6).
As evident from Tables 1-6, and indicated at step 125, whenever the measured carbon isotope value of a cannabis sample is less than −32‰, it is virtually certain that the cannabis sample was cultivated indoors (99-100% probability). As most cannabis cultivated indoors in commercial settings today utilize CO2 generators, implementation of the herein-described systems and methods has a very high likelihood of being able to detect (and verify and certify) an indoor cultivated cannabis sample on the basis of carbon isotope value analysis of a bulk leaf or flower alone. However, for cannabis samples with a carbon isotope value greater than −32‰ and less than −24‰, the below-described additional steps are used to distinguish cannabis cultivated indoors using old production methods versus cannabis cultivated outdoors in either shaded or sunny conditions.
The predicted ranges of cannabis carbon isotope values are compared in
As discussed above, and indicated at step 125, for cannabis samples with a carbon isotope value of greater than −32‰ and less than −24‰, the below-described additional steps (and indicated at steps 135, 135A) may be employed to further evaluate the sample. In some embodiments, computational portion 40 employs a Bayesian likelihood ratio analysis (at step 135) to compare the measured carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample with a reference data set of authenticated observations of the carbon isotope values of cannabis.
As indicated at step 135A, part of the analysis involves comparison with a reference data set of cannabis that is a compilation of observations of the carbon isotope values of plants documented to have been cultivated indoors versus outdoors. Such a reference data set may be stored, for example, in database 404. As one example of a reference data set, the present applicants have assembled a cannabis reference data set containing approximately 800 observations. In accordance with the disclosure, the reference data set may be expanded and revised as additional authentic observations are obtained from medical cannabis cultivators and other sources. Exemplary versions of the reference data set stored in database 404 include the date of observation, and consist of authentic indoor cultivated and outdoor cultivated cannabis samples.
Using the reference data set in database 404 containing carbon isotope values and associated cultivation regime, and as indicated at step 136, processor 402 creates a frequency distribution describing the probability distribution of carbon isotope values of cannabis cultivated indoors for the range of −33‰ to −20‰. Likewise, as indicated at step 138, processor 402 creates a frequency distribution describing the probability distribution of carbon isotope values of cannabis cultivated outdoors for the range of −33‰ to −20‰. Using the observed carbon isotope value of a cannabis sample and the two frequency distributions (i.e., for indoor and outdoor cultivation), and as indicated at step 140, processor 402 calculates the likelihood ratio that the cannabis sample has been cultivated indoors. For example, the outcome of the calculation may be a likelihood ratio (or odds ratio) of two probabilities where the numerator is the probability that a plant with a specific carbon isotope value has been cultivated indoors and the denominator is the probability that a plant with that same specific carbon isotope value has been cultivated outdoors. In the aforementioned manner, processor 402 yields a likelihood ratio that a given cannabis sample has been cultivated in an indoor environment.
In some embodiments, and as indicated at step 145, a computational portion 40 of system 10 may be also employed to generate a numerical score and assign it to each cannabis sample that is determined to have been cultivated indoors on the basis of a suitable likelihood ratio, for example, a likelihood ratio of 90:1 or higher. One purpose of this numerical assignment is to provide a quantitative assessment of the average atmospheric CO2 concentration during indoor cannabis cultivation. One embodiment for calculating may be as follows.
First, calculate using Equation 1 (above) for the carbon isotope value of CO2 in air (δ13Cair), using the measured carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample (δ13Cplant) and plant, a ci/ca value of 0.75, which is typical of well-watered conditions. Next, using the calculated δ13Cair value, convert into its associated average atmospheric CO2 concentration ([CO2]air) using a value of −8.3‰ for background outside atmospheric CO2 (δ13Ct), 400 ppm as the background atmospheric CO2 concentration ([CO2]t), and a carbon isotope value of −45‰ for the fossil fuel (δ13Csource) combusted to elevate indoor atmospheric CO2 levels. A 2-point Keeling plot is then used as the last calculation to provide a quantitative estimate of the indoor CO2 concentration during cultivation. The resulting quantitative estimate may be reported to certification portion 50, as indicated at step 150, with the estimated average CO2 concentration in the indoor cultivation environment in conjunction with the unique cannabis sample identifier in order to produce a certificate, or otherwise certify the sample. In addition, the sample data may be archived in suitable storage, such as database 404. Thus, system 10 and the disclosed method may be used to produce a verification or certification that a cannabis sample has been, or has not been cultivated indoors. As noted above, other cultivation conditions may also be verified or certified.
Although various embodiments have been shown and described, the present disclosure is not so limited and will be understood to include all such modifications and variations are would be apparent to one skilled in the art.
Claims
1. A cannabis cultivation condition determination system comprising:
- an isotope measurement portion for measuring a carbon isotope value of a cannabis sample; and
- a computational portion further comprising: a processor; and a database comprising authentic material carbon isotope values; and
- wherein the processor: classifies the measured carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample against one or more threshold criteria relating to a likelihood a cultivation condition has occurred; evaluates whether the measured carbon isotope value is above or below the one or more threshold criteria; further classifies a below-threshold measured carbon isotope value by comparing a probability density function describing the authentic material carbon isotope values; and, based on the comparison, determines a below-threshold likelihood ratio that the below-threshold measured carbon isotope value is consistent with the likelihood the cultivation condition has occurred.
2. The system of claim 1 further comprising:
- a sample preparation portion for preparing the cannabis sample for measurement in the isotope measurement portion.
3. The system of claim 1 further comprising:
- a certification portion for certifying that the cultivation condition has, or has not, occurred based, at least in part, on the classification of the measured carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample, or the classification of the below-threshold measured carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample.
4. The system of claim 1 wherein the one or more threshold criteria are calculated based, at least in part, on the carbon isotope value of a leaf or plant tissues (δ13Cplant) as:
- δ13Cplant=δ13Cair−a−(b−a)×ci/ca,
- where a (4.4‰) and b (27‰) are constants representing the diffusion fractionation against 13CO2 and the net fractionation against 13CO2 during photosynthesis, respectively, and ci/ca, is the ratio of intercellular to ambient CO2 levels inside and outside of a leaf or plant tissue.
5. The system of claim 1 wherein the probability density function is calculated using a Bayesian approach describing a known distribution of the authentic material carbon isotope values.
6. The system of claim 5 wherein the known distribution of the authentic material carbon isotope values is for authentic material cultivated indoors.
7. The system of claim 5 wherein the known distribution of the authentic material carbon isotope values is for authentic material cultivated outdoors.
8. A method for determining a cannabis cultivation condition comprising:
- obtaining a carbon isotope value of a cannabis sample; and
- executing on a processor one or modules to perform the following steps: classifying the carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample against one or more threshold criteria relating to a likelihood a cultivation condition has occurred; evaluating whether the carbon isotope value is above or below the one or more threshold criteria; further classifying a below-threshold carbon isotope value by accessing a database of authentic material isotope values and comparing a probability density function describing the authentic material isotope values; and, based on the comparison, determining a below-threshold likelihood ratio that the below-threshold carbon isotope value is consistent with the likelihood the cultivation condition has occurred.
9. The method of claim 8 wherein the step of obtaining a carbon isotope value of a cannabis sample further comprises determining a carbon isotope value.
10. The method of claim 9 wherein the step of determining a carbon isotope value of a cannabis sample further comprises measuring the carbon isotope value.
11. The method of claim 10 further comprising:
- preparing the cannabis sample for measurement of the carbon isotope value.
12. The method of claim 8 further comprising:
- certifying that the cultivation condition has, or has not, occurred based, at least in part, on the classification of the carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample, or the classification of the below-threshold carbon isotope value of the cannabis sample.
13. The method of claim 8 wherein the one or more threshold criteria are calculated based, at least in part, on the carbon isotope value of a leaf or plant tissues (δ13Cplant) as:
- δ13Cplant=δ13Cair−a−(b−a)×ci/ca,
- where a (4.4‰) and b (27‰) are constants representing the diffusion fractionation against 13CO2 and the net fractionation against 13CO2 during photosynthesis, respectively, and ci/ca, is the ratio of intercellular to ambient CO2 levels inside and outside of a leaf or plant tissue.
14. The method of claim 8 wherein the probability density function is calculated using a Bayesian approach describing a known distribution of the authentic material isotope values.
15. The method of claim 14 wherein the known distribution of the authentic material isotope values is for authentic material cultivated indoors.
16. The system of claim 14 wherein the known distribution of the authentic material isotope values is for authentic material cultivated outdoors.
Type: Application
Filed: Apr 19, 2017
Publication Date: Oct 19, 2017
Inventors: James Ehleringer (Salt Lake City, UT), Lesley Chesson (Salt Lake City, UT), Rozann Dunn (Salt Lake City, UT), Joshua Ehleringer (Salt Lake City, UT), Patrick Shea (Salt Lake City, UT), Brett Tipple (Salt Lake City, UT)
Application Number: 15/491,336