PROTEIN C POLYMORPHISMS USEFUL AS AN INDICATOR OF PATIENT OUTCOME

The invention provides methods and kits for obtaining a prognosis for a patient having or at risk of developing an inflammatory condition. The method generally comprises determining a protein C promoter genotype of a patient for a polymorphism in the protein C promoter region of the patient, comparing the determined genotype with known genotypes for the polymorphism that correspond with the ability of the patient to recover from the inflammatory condition and identifying patients based on their prognosis. The invention also provides for methods of identifying other polymorphisms that correspond with the ability of the patient to recover from the inflammatory condition.

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Description
RELATED APPLICATION DATA

This application claims priority to relates to U.S. provisional application No. 60/383,128 filed May 28, 2002, which is incorporated herein by reference.

BACKGROUND OF THE INVENTION

1. Field of the Invention

The field of the invention relates to the assessment or treatment of patients with an inflammatory condition.

2. Description of the Background Art

Protein C, when activated to form activated protein C (APC), plays a major role in three biological processes or conditions: coagulation, fibrinolysis and inflammation. Acute inflammatory states decrease levels of the free form of protein S, which decreases APC function because free protein S is an important co-factor for APC. Sepsis, acute inflammation and cytokines decrease thrombomodulin expression on endothelial cells resulting in decreased APC activity or levels. Septic shock also increases circulating levels of thrombomodulin, which is related to increased cleavage of endothelial cell thrombomodulin. Another mechanism for decreased APC function in sepsis is that endotoxin and cytokines, such as TNF-α, down-regulate endothelial cell protein C receptor (EPCR) expression, thereby decreasing action of APC. Severe septic states such as meningococcemia, also result in protein C consumption. Depressed protein C levels correlate with purpura, digital infarction and death in meningococcemia.

Protein C is altered in non-septic patients following cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). Total protein C, APC and protein S decrease during CPB. Following aortic unclamping (reperfusion at the end of CPB) protein C is further activated so that the proportion of remaining non-activated protein C is greatly decreased. A decrease of protein C during and after CPB increases the risk of thrombosis, disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC), organ ischemia and inflammation intra- and post-operatively. Patients who have less activated protein C generally have impaired recovery of cardiac function, consistent with the idea that lower levels of protein C increase the risk of microvascular thrombosis and myocardial ischemia. Aprotinin is a competitive inhibitor of APC, and is sometimes used in cardiac surgery and CPB. Aprotinin has been implicated as a cause of post-operative thrombotic complications after deep hypothermic circulatory arrest.

Septic and non-septic stimuli such as bacterial endotoxin and cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), activate the coagulation system and trigger a systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS). A decrease in protein C levels have been shown in patients with septic shock (Griffin J H. et al. (1982) Blood 60:261-264; Taylor F B. et al. (1987) J. Clin. Invest. 79:918-925; Hesselvik J F. et al. (1991) Thromb. Haemost. 65:126-129; Fijnvandraat K. et al. (1995) Thromb. Haemost. 73(1):15-20), with severe infection (Hesselvik J F. et al. (1991) Thromb. Haemost. 65:126-129) and after major surgery (Blamey S L. et al. (1985) Thromb. Haemost. 54:622-625). It has been suggested that this decrease is caused by a decrease in protein C transcription (Spek C A. et al. J. Biol. Chem. (1995) 270(41):24216-21; at pg 24221). It has also been demonstrated that endothelial pathways required for protein C activation are impaired in severe menigococcal sepsis (Faust S N. et al. New Eng. J. Med. (2001) 345:408-416). Low protein C levels in sepsis patients are related to poor prognosis (Yan S B. and Dhainaut J-F. Crit. Care Med (2001) 29(7):S69-s74; Fisher C J. and Yan S B. Crit. Care Med (2000) 28(9 Suppl):S49-S56; Vervloet M G. et al. Semin Thromb Hemost. (1998) 24(1):33-44; Lorente J A. et al. Chest (1993) 103(5):1536-42). Recombinant human activated protein C reduces mortality in patients having severe sepsis or septic shock (Bernard G R. et al. New Eng. J. Med. (2001) 344:699-709). Thus protein C appears to play an important beneficial role in the systemic inflammatory response syndrome.

The human protein C gene maps to chromosome 2q13-q14 and extends over 11 kb. A representative Homo sapiens protein C gene sequence is listed in GenBank under accession number AF378903. Three single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) have been identified in the 5′ untranslated promoter region of the protein C gene and are characterized as −1654 C/T, −1641 A/G and −1476 A/T (according to the numbering scheme of Foster D C. et al. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA (1985) 82(14):4673-4677), or as −153C/T, −140A/G and +26A/T respectively by (MILLAR D S. et al. Hum. Genet. (2000) 106:646-653 at 651).

The genotype homozygous for −1654 C/−1641 G/−1476 T has been associated with reduced rates of transcription of the protein C gene as compared to the −1654 T/−1641 A/−1476 A homozygous genotype (Scopes D. et al. Blood Coagul. Fibrinol (1995) 6(4):317-321). Patients homozygous for the −1654 C/−1641 G/−1476 T genotype show a decrease of 22% in plasma protein C levels and protein C activity levels as compared to patients homozygous for the −1654 T/−1641 A/−1476 A genotype (Spek C A. et al. Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol (1995) 15:214-218). The −1654 C/−1641 G haplotype has been associated with lower protein C concentrations in both homozygotes and heterozygotes as compared to −1654 T/−1641 A (Aiach M. et al., Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol (1999) 19(6):1573-1576).

SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION

This invention is based in part on the surprising discovery that two of the protein C promoter polymorphisms characterized in the scientific literature as being associated with decreased protein C are associated with improved prognosis or patient outcome, in patients with an inflammatory condition. Further, various protein C polymorphisms are useful for patient screening, as an indication of patient outcome, or for prognosis for recovery from an inflammatory condition.

In accordance with one aspect of the invention, methods are provided for obtaining a prognosis for a patient having or at risk of developing an inflammatory condition, the method comprising determining a genotype including one or more polymorphism sites in the protein C gene for the patient, wherein said genotype is indicative of an ability of the patient to recover from an inflammatory condition.

The polymorphism site may correspond to position 2418 of SEQ ID NO: 1 or a polymorphism site linked thereto. Alternatively, the polymorphism site corresponds to position 2418, 1386, 2583 or 3920 in SEQ ID NO: 1.

Genotype may also be determined at a combination of two or more polymorphism sites, the combination being selected from the group of positions corresponds to SEQ ID NO: 1 consisting of:

5867 and 2405;

5867 and 4919;

5867 and 4956;

5867 and 6187;

5867 and 9534;

5867 and 12109;

4800 and 2405;

4800 and 4919;

4800 and 4956;

4800 and 6187;

4800 and 9534;

4800 and 12109;

9198 and 6379 and 2405;

9198 and 6379 and 4919;

9198 and 6379 and 4956;

9198 and 6379 and 6187;

9198 and 6379 and 9534; and

9198 and 6379 and 12109.

In accordance with another aspect of the invention, methods are provided for further comparing the genotype so determined with known genotypes, which are indicative of a prognosis for recovery from the same inflammatory condition as for the patient or another inflammatory condition.

The genotype of the patient may be indicative of a decreased likelihood of recovery from an inflammatory condition or indicative of a prognosis of severe cardiovascular or respiratory dysfunction in critically ill patients. Furthermore, such a genotype may be selected from the group of single polymorphism sites and combined polymorphism sites consisting of:

1386 T;

2418 A;

2583 A;

3920 T;

5867 A and 2405 T;

5867 A and 4919 A;

5867 A and 4956 T;

5867 A and 6187 C;

5867 A and 9534 T;

5867 A and 12109 T;

4800 G and 2405 T;

4800 G and 4919 A;

4800 G and 4956 T;

4800 G and 6187 C;

4800 G and 9534 T;

4800 G and 12109 T;

9198 A and 6379 G and 2405 T;

9198 A and 6379 G and 4919 A;

9198 A and 6379 G and 4956 T;

9198 A and 6379 G and 6187 C;

9198 A and 6379 G and 9534 T; and

9198 A and 6379 G and 12109 T.

The genotype of the patient may be indicative of an increased likelihood of recovery from an inflammatory condition or indicative of a prognosis of less severe cardiovascular or respiratory dysfunction in critically ill patients. Furthermore, such a genotype may be selected from the group of single polymorphism sites and combined polymorphism sites consisting of:

1386 C;

2418 G;

2583 T;

3920 C;

5867 G and 2405 C;

5867 G and 4919 G;

5867 G and 4956 C;

5867 G and 6187 T;

5867 G and 9534 C;

5867 G and 12109 C;

4800 C and 2405 C;

4800 C and 4919 G;

4800 C and 4956 C;

4800 C and 6187 T;

4800 C and 9534 C; and

4800 C and 12109 C.

In accordance with another aspect of the invention, methods are provided for identifying a polymorphism in a protein C gene sequence that correlates with patient prognosis. Where the method comprises obtaining protein C gene sequence information from a group of patients, identifying a site of at least one polymorphism in the protein C gene, determining genotypes at the site for individual patients in the group, determining an ability of individual patients in the group to recover from the inflammatory condition and

correlating genotypes determined with patient abilities.

The correlation procedure may be repeated on a patient population of sufficient size to achieve a statistically significant correlation.

The methods may further comprise steps of obtaining protein C gene sequence of the patient or obtaining a nucleic acid sample from the patient. The determining of genotype may be performed on a nucleic acid sample from the patient.

Where the genotype of the patient corresponding to the nucleotide in position 2418, is adenine (A), the prognosis may be indicative of a decreased likelihood of recovery from an inflammatory condition or of severe cardiovascular or respiratory dysfunction in critically ill patients.

Where the genotype of the patient corresponding to the nucleotide in position 2418, is guanine (G), the prognosis may be indicative of a increased likelihood of recovery from an inflammatory condition or of less severe cardiovascular or respiratory dysfunction in critically ill patients.

The inflammatory condition may be selected from the group consisting of: sepsis, septicemia, pneumonia, septic shock, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS), acute lung injury, infection, pancreatitis, bacteremia, peritonitis, abdominal abscess, inflammation due to trauma, inflammation due to surgery, chronic inflammatory disease, ischemia, ischemia-reperfusion injury of an organ or tissue, tissue damage due to disease, tissue damage due to chemotherapy or radiotherapy, and reactions to ingested, inhaled, infused, injected, or delivered substances.

The determining of a genotype may comprise one or more of: restriction fragment length analysis; sequencing; hybridization; oligonucleotide ligation assay; ligation rolling circle amplification; 5′ nuclease assay; polymerase proofreading methods; allele specific PCR; and reading sequence data.

In accordance with another aspect of the invention, there is provided a kit for determining a genotype at a defined nucleotide position within a polymorphism site in a protein C gene sequence from a patient to provide a prognosis of the patient's ability to recover from an inflammatory condition, the kit comprising, in a package a restriction enzyme capable of distinguishing alternate nucleotides at the polymorphism site or a labeled oligonucleotide having sufficient complementary to the polymorphism site and capable of distinguishing said alternate nucleotides.

The alternate nucleotides may correspond to position 2418 of SEQ ID NO: 1, position 8 of SEQ ID NO: 2 or to a polymorphism linked thereto. The alternate nucleotides may also correspond to one or more of positions 2418, 1386, 2583, and 3920 of SEQ ID NO: 1.

The kit comprising a restriction enzyme may also comprise an oligonucleotide or a set of oligonucleotides suitable to amplify a region surrounding the polymorphism site, a polymerization agent and instructions for using the kit to determine genotype.

In accordance with another aspect of the invention, methods are provided for determining patient prognosis in a patient having or at risk of developing an inflammatory condition, the method comprising detecting the identity of one or more polymorphisms in the protein C promoter region, wherein the identity of said one or more polymorphisms is indicative of the ability of the patient to recover from the inflammatory condition.

In accordance with another aspect of the invention, methods are provided for patient screening, comprising the steps of (a) obtaining protein C gene sequence information from a patient, and (b) determining the identity of one or more polymorphisms in the promoter region, wherein the one or more polymorphisms may be indicative of the ability of a patient to recover from an inflammatory condition.

In accordance with another aspect of the invention methods are provided for patient screening whereby the method includes the steps of (a) selecting a patient based on risk of developing an inflammatory condition or having an inflammatory condition, (b) obtaining protein C gene sequence information from the patient and (c) detecting the identity of one or more polymorphisms in the protein C gene, wherein the polymorphism is indicative of the ability of a patient to recover from an inflammatory condition.

The above sequence positions refer to the sense strand of the protein C gene promoter region. It will be obvious to a person skilled in the art that analysis could be conducted on the anti-sense strand to determine patient outcome.

More severe patient outcome or prognosis may be correlated with higher protein C expression or conversely an indication of less severe patient outcome or prognosis may be correlated with lower protein C expression, which is the opposite of what would be expected.

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS

FIG. 1 shows a comparison of survival rates for patients in shock with those not in shock by genotype of protein C 2418.

FIG. 2 shows a series of graphs plotting Mean Arterial Pressure (mm Hg) over time before and after cardiopulmonary bypass; Cardiac Index (L/m2) over time before and after cardiopulmonary bypass; Systemic Vascular Resistance Index over time before and after cardiopulmonary bypass; and Vasopressor Use over time before and after cardiopulmonary bypass, with each graph comparing AA homozygotes with AG heterozygotes and GG homozygotes of protein C 2418.

FIG. 3 shows a graph plotting percent Arterial Oxygen Saturation over time before and after cardiopulmonary bypass, comparing AA homozygotes with AG heterozygotes and GG homozygotes of protein C 2418.

 DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION Definitions

In the description that follows, a number of terms are used extensively, the following definitions are provided to facilitate understanding of the invention.

“Genetic material” includes any nucleic acid and can be a deoxyribonucleotide or ribonucleotide polymer in either single or double-stranded form.

A “purine” is a heterocyclic organic compound containing fused pyrimidine and imidazole rings, and acts as the parent compound for purine bases, adenine (A) and guanine (G). “Nucleotides” are generally a purine (R) or pyrimidine (Y) base covalently linked to a pentose, usually ribose or deoxyribose, where the sugar carries one or more phosphate groups. Nucleic acids are generally a polymer of nucleotides joined by 3′ 5′ phosphodiester linkages. As used herein “purine” is used to refer to the purine bases, A and G, and more broadly to include the nucleotide monomers, deoxyadenosine-5′-phosphate and deoxyguanosine-5′-phosphate, as components of a polynucleotide chain.

A “pyrimidine” is a single-ringed, organic base that forms nucleotide bases, cytosine (C), thymine (T) and uracil (U). As used herein “pyrimidine” is used to refer to the pyrimidine bases, C, T and U, and more broadly to include the pyrimidine nucleotide monomers that along with purine nucleotides are the components of a polynucleotide chain.

A “polymorphic site” or “polymorphism site” or “polymorphism” or “single nucleotide polymorphism site” (SNP site) as used herein is the locus or position with in a given sequence at which divergence occurs. Preferred polymorphic sites have at least two alleles, each occurring at frequency of greater than 1%, and more preferably greater than 10% or 20% of a selected population. Polymorphism sites may be at known positions within a nucleic acid sequence or may be determined to exist using the methods described herein.

The “promoter” region is 5′ or upstream of the translation start site, in this case the translation start site is located at position 4062 of Table 1A (SEQ. ID NO: 1) and the transcription start site is located at position 2559 of Table 1A (SEQ. ID NO: 1).

Numerous other sites have been identified as polymorphisms in the protein C gene, where those polymorphisms are linked to the polymorphism at position 2418 of SEQ. ID NO: 1 and may therefore be indicative of patient prognosis. The following single polymorphism sites and combined polymorphism sites are linked to 2418 of SEQ ID NO: 1:

1386;

2583;

3920;

5867 and 2405;

5867 and 4919;

5867 and 4956;

5867 and 6187;

5867 and 9534;

5867 and 12109;

4800 and 2405;

4800 and 4919;

4800 and 4956;

4800 and 6187;

4800 and 9534;

4800 and 12109;

9198 and 6379 and 2405;

9198 and 6379 and 4919;

9198 and 6379 and 4956;

9198 and 6379 and 6187;

9198 and 6379 and 9534; and

9198 and 6379 and 12109.

It will be appreciated by a person of skill in the art that further linked single polymorphism sites and combined polymorphism sites could be determined. The haplotype of protein C can be created by assessing the SNP's of protein C in normal subjects using a program that has an expectation maximization algorithm (i.e. PHASE). A constructed haplotype of protein C may be used to find combinations of SNP's that are in total linkage disequilibrium (LD) with 2418. Therefore, the haplotype of an individual could be determined by genotyping other SNP's that are in total LD with 2418. Linked single polymorphism sites or combined polymorphism sites may also be genotyped for assessing patient prognosis.

The following genotypes for single polymorphism sites and combined polymorphism sites may indicative of a decreased likelihood of recovery from an inflammatory condition or indicative of severe cardiovascular or respiratory dysfunction in critically ill patients:

1386 T;

2583 A;

3920 T;

5867 A and 2405 T;

5867 A and 4919 A;

5867 A and 4956 T;

5867 A and 6187 C;

5867 A and 9534 T;

5867 A and 12109 T;

4800 G and 2405 T;

4800 G and 4919 A;

4800 G and 4956 T;

4800 G and 6187 C;

4800 G and 9534 T;

4800 G and 12109 T;

9198 A and 6379 G and 2405 T;

9198 A and 6379 G and 4919 A;

9198 A and 6379 G and 4956 T;

9198 A and 6379 G and 6187 C;

9198 A and 6379 G and 9534 T; and

9198 A and 6379 G and 12109 T.

Whereas the following genotypes for single polymorphism sites and combined polymorphism sites may indicative of a increased likelihood of recovery from an inflammatory condition or indicative of less severe cardiovascular or respiratory dysfunction in critically ill patients:

1386 C;

2583 T;

3920 C;

5867 G and 2405 C;

5867 G and 4919 G;

5867 G and 4956 C;

5867 G and 6187 T;

5867 G and 9534 C;

5867 G and 12109; C

4800 C and 2405 C;

4800 C and 4919 G;

4800 C and 4956 C;

4800 C and 6187 T;

4800 C and 9534 C; and

4800 C and 12109 C.

It will be appreciated by a person of skill in the art, that the numerical designations of the positions of polymorphisms within a sequence are relative to the specific sequence. Also the same positions may be assigned different numerical designations depending on the way in which the sequence is numbered and the sequence chosen, as illustrated by the alternative numbering of equivalent polymorphisms in Foster et al. and Millar et al. above. Furthermore, sequence variations within the population, such as insertions or deletions, may change the relative position and subsequently the numerical designations of particular nucleotides at and around a polymorphism site.

Table 1A below is representative of a Homo sapiens protein C gene sequence and comprises a sequence as listed in GenBank under accession number AF378903. The SNP's described as −1654 C/T, −1641 A/G and −1476 A/T using the numbering system of Foster et al. correspond to 2405, 2418 and 2583 respectively in Table 1A (SEQ ID NO: 1). Polymorphism sites shown below in Table 1A are represented by an upper case N at the apex of an open triangle. The N is used to indicate that variation in genotype is possible at those positions within a population. The 2418 polymorphism is represented by an N which indicates that the nucleotide at that position may be an a, t, u, g or c. However, the genotype at position 2418 is most commonly an a or g (purine) nucleotide.

TABLE 1A 1 gctctctaac tcacagcgag ctcgctgccc aaagtcctgc tccgggggct tcctgggtgg 61 acctgaccgc gttcgggtgc acgtggggcg actcacacct gacaagtaaa gcgggtgagg 121 ccgcgcctgt gaagggcgcc tggctcctcc gcaggacggt gcggcgcggc gcccccggct 181 ggaaccaggt gtaactgcag agaccctggg atcgcaggaa cggctggcgg caggactgtc 241 cctacctcga gaaggtgacg gggtttcctg cgctgccagc cgatgaggcg gccgtgacgc 301 agcccgccgt gcagagtccc cgtcggccga caggcgtgca gagctctgca gaggaccctt 361 ccgccctctg ggcagcctgc caagccgtgg cacccccaac ccccagcact gggcacttgg 421 gagcattgca gccgccctgg ctcgtaccgg tgccggtgct ttgggcacct gggctggttt 481 ggacatgggt gccccgggca gagtccattt atgcaggtca gaatcagtgt gtggagcctg 541 catagacttg ccctggagcg gctgcctgtg ctggggtggg gaggagtaga gggcgagaag 601 ttggtgggga agggaagcgg cgccaaaaga atacccacaa catcttgcac ctggaaggca 661 aagcagaggg cagtgatctc tgcagacttg cgggggcgac gcctgaagca aacagggaca 721 tacaagctgg tgccttctgt ggttgtgcat ggggtcttca tgcttcctgt ctgagttccc 781 agaagcttgt ctctgctttt ctaggcagct gccacagcct gtcacaaaca gctcctggtt 841 ctccacttct catagtctcg atttcaaaat ccattgcctc accctccacc tcctctccac 901 ctccacccct cctagcacct cctgactgct tgtgttctgt gtctccccac tgtctcccaa 961 cctggggtgg ggttgggggg gatgtctttc ctcctgtctg ctctttgatg tccagctgaa 1021 gtgtcacctc ctacaggcag cctcccctgg ctatgccagc ttgtactgat tgccctctcc 1081 tctgaattct gtaagcattt cctatgtgta cctgcccctg ggcaaggtgg gcctgacttg 1141 ttagagtgtt agagttttac cctgttcctc taggagggcc tggtaccacc acagcccagc 1201 atggtgtggt gcctcagcag gaggcatctg gttacaatca acacaagctg ttccagccaa 1261 tttaaagaaa cttcaggagg aatagggttt taggagggca tggggaccct cctgcacccg 1321 aagccaggat gtgccaccaa tcataaggag gcaggggcct ccttccgctg ctccctggga 1381 ctctcNaggt gtccgtggcc tcagcccccc tctgcacacc tgcatcttcc ttctcatcag 1441 cttcctctgc tttaagcgta aacatggatg cccaggacct ggcctcaatc ttccgagtct 1501 ggtacttatg gtgtactgac agtgtgagac cctactcctc tgatcaatcc cctgggttgg 1561 tgacttccct gtgcaatcaa tggaagccag cgaggcaggg tcacatgccc cgtttagagg 1621 tgcagacttg gagaaggaac gtgggcaagt cttcccagga acaggtaggg cagggaggaa 1681 aggggggcat ctctggtgca gcccggttcg gagcaggaag acgcttaata aatgctgata 1741 gactgcagga cacaggcaaa ggtgctgagc tggacccttt atttctgccc ttctcccttc 1801 tggcaccccg gccaggaaat tgctgcagcc tttctggaat cccgttcatt tttcttactg 1861 gtccacaaaa ggggccaaat ggaagcagca agacctgagt tcaaattaaa tctgccaact 1921 accagctcag tgaatctggg cgagtaacac aaaacttgag tgtccttacc tgaaaaatag 1981 aggttagagg gatgctatgt gccattgtgt gtgtgtgttg ggggtgggga ttgggggtga 2041 tttgtgagca attggaggtg agggtggagc ccagtgccca gcacctatgc actggggacc 2101 caaaaaggag catcttctca tgattttatg tatcagaaat tgggatggca tgtcattggg 2161 acagcgtctt ttttcttgta tggtggcaca taaatacatg tgtcttataa ttaatggtat 2221 tttagatttg acgaaatatg gaatattacc tgttgtgctg atcttgggca aactataata 2281 tctctgggca aaaatgtccc catctgaaaa acagggacaa cgttcctccc tcagccagcc 2341 actatggggc taaaatgaga ccacatctgt caagggtttt gccctcacct ccctccctgc 2401 tggaNggcat ccttggtNgg cagaggtggg cttcgggcag aacaagccgt gctgagctag 2461 gaccaggagt gctagtgcca ctgtttgtct atggagaggg aggcctcagt gctgagggcc 2521 aagcaaatat ttgtggttat ggattaactc gaactccagg ctgtcatggc ggcaggacgg 2581 cgNacttgca gtatctccac gacccgcccc tgtgagtccc cctccaggca ggtctatgag 2641 gggtgtggag ggagggctgc ccccgggaga agagagctag gtggtgatga gggctgaatc 2701 ctccagccag ggtgctcaac aagcctgagc ttggggtaaa aggacacaag gccctccaca 2761 ggccaggcct ggcagccaca gtctcaggtc cctttgccat gcgcctccct ctttccaggc 2821 caagggtccc cagggcccag ggccattcca acagacagtt tggagcccag gaccctccat 2881 tctccccacc ccacttccac ctttgggggt gtcggatttg aacaaatctc agaagcggcc 2941 tcagagggag tcggcaagaa tggagagcag ggtccggtag ggtgtgcaga gggccacgtg 3001 gcctatccac tggggagggt tccttgatct ctggccacca gggctatctc tgtggccttt 3061 tggagcacct ggtggtttgg ggcaggggtt gaatttccag gcctaaaacc acacaggcct 3121 ggccttgagt cctggctctg cgagtaatgc atggatgtaa acatggagac ccaggacctt 3181 gcctcagtct tccgagtctg gtgcctgcag tgtactgatg gtgtgagacc ctactcctgg 3241 aggatggggg acagaatctg atcgatcccc tgggttggtg acttccctgt gcaatcaacg 3301 gagaccagca agggttggat ttttaataaa ccacttaact cctccgagtc tcagtttccc 3361 cctctatgaa atggggttga cagcattaat aactacctct tgggtggttg tgagccttaa 3421 ctgaagtcat aatatctcat gtttactgag catgagctat gtgcaaagcc tgttttgaga 3481 gctttatgtg gactaactcc tttaattctc acaacaccct ttaaggcaca gatacaccac 3541 gttattccat ccattttaca aatgaggaaa ctgaggcatg gagcagttaa gcatcttgcc 3601 caacattgcc ctccagtaag tgctggagct ggaatttgca ccgtgcagtc tggcttcatg 3661 gcctgccctg tgaatcctgt aaaaattgtt tgaaagacac catgagtgtc caatcaacgt 3721 tagctaatat tctcagccca gtcatcagac cggcagaggc agccacccca ctgtccccag 3781 ggaggacaca aacatcctgg caccctctcc actgcattct ggagctgctt tctaggcagg 3841 cagtgtgagc tcagccccac gtagagcggg cagccgaggc cttctgaggc tatgtctcta 3901 gcgaacaagg accctcaatN ccagcttccg ccctgacggc cagcacacag ggacagccct 3961 ttcattccgc ttccacctgg gggtgcaggc agagcagcag cgggggtagg cactgcccgg 4021 agctcagaag tcctcctcag acaggtgcca gtgcctccag aatgtggcag ctcacaagcc 4081 tcctgctgtt cgtggccacc tggggaattt ccggcacacc agctcctctt ggtaaggcca 4141 ccccacccct accccgggac ccttgtggcc tctacaaggc ctggtggcat ctgcccaggc 4201 cttcacagct tccaccatct ctctgagccc tgggtgaggt gaggggcaga tgggaatggc 4261 aggaatcaac tgacaagtcc caggtaggcc agctgccaga gtgccacaca ggggctgcca 4321 gggcaggcat gcgtgatggc agggagcccc gcgatgacct cctaaagctc cctcctccac 4381 acggggatgg tcacagagtc ccctgggcct tccctctcca cccactcact ccctcaactg 4441 tgaagacccc aggcccaggc taccgtccac actatccagc acagcctccc ctactcaaat 4501 gcacactggc ctcacggctg ccctgcccca acccctttcc tggtctccac agccaacggg 4561 aggaggccat gattcttggg gaggtccgca ggacacatgg gcccctaaag ccacaccagg 4621 ctgttggttt catttgtgcc tttatagagc tgtttatctg cttgggacct gcacctccac 4681 cctttcccaa ggtgccctca gctcaggcat accctcctct aggatgcctt ttcccccatc 4741 ccttcttgct cacaccocca acttgatctc tccctcctaa ctgtgccctg cacccaagaN 4801 agacacttca cagagcccag gagacacctg gggacccttc ctgggtgata ggtctgtcta 4861 tcctccaggt gtccctgccc aaggggagaa gcatggggaa tacttggttg ggggaggaNa 4921 ggaagactgg ggggatgtgt caagatgggg ctgcaNgtgg tgtactggca gaagagtgag 4981 aggatttaac ttggcagcct ttacagcagc agccagggct tgagtactta tctctgggcc 5041 agggactgta ttggatgttt tacatgacgg tctcatcccc atgtttttgg atgagtaaat 5101 tgaaccttag aaaggtaaag acactggctc aaggtcacac agagatcggg gtggggttca 5161 cagggaggcc tgtccatctc agagcaaggc ttcgtcctcc aactgccatc tgcttcctgg 5221 ggaggaaaag agcagaggac ccctgcgcca agccatgacc tagaattaga atgagtcttg 5281 agggggcgga gacaagacct tcccaggctc tcccagctct gcttcctcag accccctcat 5341 ggccccagcc cctcttaggc ccctccacca aggtgagctc cccctccctc caaaaccaga 5401 ctcagtgttc tccagcagcg agcgtgccca ccaggtgctg cggatccgca aacgtgccaa 5461 ctccttcctg gaggagctcc gtcacagcag cctggagcgg gagtgcatag aggagatctg 5521 tgacttcgag gaggccaagg aaattttcca aaatgtggat gacacagtaa ggccaccatg 5581 ggtccagagg atgaggctca ggggcgagct ggtaaccagc aggggcctcg aggagcaggt 5641 ggggactcaa tgctgaggcc ctcttaggag ttgtgggggt ggctgagtgg agcgattagg 5701 atgctggccc tatgatgtcg gccaggcaca tgtgactgca agaaacagaa ttcaggaaga 5761 agctccagga aagagtgtgg ggtgacccta ggtggggact cccaccagcc acagtgtagg 5821 tggttcagtc caccctccag ccactgctga gcaccactgc ctccccNtcc cacctcacaa 5881 agaggggacc taaagaccac cctgcttcca cccatgcctc tgctgatcag ggtgtgtgtg 5941 tgaccgaaac tcacttctgt ccacataaaa tcgctcactc tgtgcctcac atcaaaggga 6001 gaaaatctga ttgttcaggg ggtcggaaga cagggtctgt gtcctatttg tctaagggtc 6061 agagtccttt ggagccccca gagtcctgtg gacgtggccc taggtagtag ggtgagcttg 6121 gtaacggggc tggcttcctg agacaaggct cagacccgct ctgtccctgg ggatcgcttc 6181 agccacNagg acctgaaaat tgtgcacggc ctgggccccc ttccaaggca tccagggatg 6241 ctttccagtg gaggctttca gggcaggaga ccctctggcc tgcaccctct cttgccctca 6301 gcctccacct ccttgactgg acccccatct ggacctccat ccccaccacc tctttcccca 6361 gtggcctccc tggcagacNc cacagtgact ttctgcaggc acatatctga tcacatcaag 6421 tccccaccgt gctcccacct cacccatggt ctctcagccc cagcaggcct tggctggcct 6481 ctctgatgga gcaggcatca ggcacaggcc gtgggtctca acgtgggctg ggtggtcctg 6541 gaccagcagc agccgccgca gcagcaaccc tggtacctgg ttaggaacgc agaccctctg 6601 cccccatcct cccaactctg aaaaacactg gcttagggaa aggcgcgatg ctcaggggtc 6661 ccccaaagcc cgcaggcaga gggagtgatg ggactggaag gaggccgagt gacttggtga 6721 gggattcggg tcccttgcat gccagaggct gctgtgggag cggacagtcg cgagagcagc 6781 actgcagctg catggggaga gggtgttgct ccagggacgt gggatggagg ctgggcgcgg 6841 gcgggtggcg ctggagggcg ggggaggggc agggagcacc agctcctagc agccaacgac 6901 catcgggcgt cgatccctgt ttgtctggaa gccctcccct cccctgcccg ctcacccgct 6961 gccctgcccc acccgggcgc gccccctccg cacaccggct gcaggagcct gacgctgccc 7021 gctctctccg cagctggcct tctggtccaa gcacgtcggt gagtgcgttc tagatccccg 7081 gctggactac cggcgcccgc gcccctcggg atctctggcc gctgaccccc taccccgcct 7141 tgtgtcgcag acggtgacca gtgcttggtc ttgcccttgg agcacccgtg cgccagcctg 7201 tgctgcgggc acggcacgtg catcgacggc atcggcagct tcagctgcga ctgccgcagc 7261 ggctgggagg gccgcttctg ccagcgcggt gagggggaga ggtggatgct ggcgggcggc 7321 ggggcggggc tggggccggg ttgggggcgc ggcaccagca ccagctgccc gcgccctccc 7381 ctgcccgcag aggtgagctt cctcaattgc tcgctggaca acggcggctg cacgcattac 7441 tgcctagagg aggtgggctg gcggcgctgt agctgtgcgc ctggctacaa gctgggggac 7501 gacctcctgc agtgtcaccc cgcaggtgag aagcccccaa tacatcgccc aggaatcacg 7561 ctgggtgcgg ggtgggcagg cccctgacgg ggcgcggcgc ggggggctca ggagggtttc 7621 tagggaggga gcgaggaaca gagttgagcc ttggggcagc ggcagacgcg ccccaacacc 7681 ggggccactg ttagcgcaat cagcccggga gctgggcgcg ccctccgctt tccctgcttc 7741 ctttcttcct ggcgtccccg ccttcctccg ggcgccccct gcgcacctgg ggccacctcc 7801 tggagcgcaa gcccagtggt ggctccgctc cccagtctga gcgtatctgg ggcgaggcgt 7861 gcagcgtcct cctccatgta gcctggctgc gtttttctct gacgttgtcc ggcgtgcatc 7921 gcatttccct ctttaccccc ttgcttcctt gaggagagaa cagaatcccg attctgcctt 7981 cttctatatt ttccttttta tgcattttaa tcaaatttat atatgtatga aactttaaaa 8041 atcagagttt tacaactctt acatttcagc atgctgttcc ttggcatggg tccttttttc 8101 attcattttc attaaaaggt ggaccctttt aatgtggaaa ttcctatctt ctgcctctag 8161 ggacatttat cacttatttc ttctacaatc tcccctttac ttcctctatt ttctctttct 8221 ggacctccca ttattcagac ctctttcctc tagttttatt gtctcttcta tttcccatct 8281 ctttgacttt gtgttttctt tcagggaact ttcttttttt tctttttttt tgagatggag 8341 tttcactctt gttgtcccag gctggagtgc aatgacgtga tctcagctca ccacaacctc 8401 cgcctcctgg attcaagcga ttctcctgcc gcagcctccc gagtagctgg gattacaggc 8461 atgcgccacc acgcccagct aattttgtgt ttttagtaga gaaggggttt ctccgtgttg 8521 gtcaagctgg tcttgaactc ctgacctcag gtgatccacc tgccttggcc tcctaaagtg 8581 ctgggattac aggcgtgagc caccgcgccc agcctctttc agggaacttt ctacaacttt 8641 ataattcaat tcttctgcag aaaaaaattt ttggccaggc tcagtagctc agaccaataa 8701 ttccagcact ttgagaggct gaggtgggag gattgcttga gcttgggagt ttgagactag 8761 cctgggcaac acagtgagac cctgtctcta tttttaaaaa aagtaaaaaa agatctaaaa 8821 atttaacttt ttattttgaa ataattagat atttccagga agctgcaaag aaatgcctgg 8881 tgggcctgtt ggcctgtggg tttcctgcaa ggccgtggga aggccctgtc attggcagaa 8941 ccccagatcg tgagggcttt ccttttaggc tgctttctaa gaggactcct ccaagctctt 9001 ggaggatgga agacgctcac ccatggtgtt cggcccctca gagcagggtg gggcagggga 9061 gctggtgcct gtgcaggctg tggacatttg catgactccc tgtggtcagc taagagcacc 9121 actccttcct gaagcggggc ctgaagtccc tagtcagagc ctctggttca ccttctgcag 9181 gcagggagag gggagtcNag tcagtgagga gggctttcgc agtttctctt acaaactctc 9241 aacatgccct cccacctgca ctgccttcct ggaagcccca cagcctccta tggttccgtg 9301 gtccagtcct tcagcttctg ggcgccccca tcacgggctg agatttttgc tttccagtct 9361 gccaagtcag ttactgtgtc catccatctg ctgtcagctt ctggaattgt tgctgttgtg 9421 ccctttccat tcttttgtta tgatgcagct cccctgctga cgacgtccca ttgctctttt 9481 aagtctagat atctggactg ggcattcaag gcccattttg agcagagtcg ggcNgacctt 9541 tcagccctca gttctccatg gagtatgcgc tctcttcttg gcagggaggc ctcacaaaca 9601 tgccatgcct attgtaggag ctctccaaga atgctcacct ccttctccct gtaattcctt 9661 tcctctgtga ggagctcagc agcatcccat tatgagacct tactaatccc agggatcacc 9721 cccaacagcc ctggggtaca atgagctttt aagaagttta accacctatg taaggagaca 9781 caggcagtgg gcgatgctgc ctggcctgac tcttgccatt gggtggtact gtttgttgac 9841 tgactgactg actgactgga gggggtttgt aatttgtatc tcagggatta cccccaacag 9901 ccctggggta caatgagcct tcaagaagtt taacaaccta tgtaaggaca cacagccagt 9961 gggtgatgct gcctggtctg actcttgcca ttcagtggca ctgtttgttg actgactgac 10021 tgactgactg gctgactgga gggggttcat agctaatatt aatggagtgg tctaagtatc 10081 attggttcct tgaaccctgc actgtggcaa agtggcccac aggctggagg aggaccaaga 10141 caggagggca gtctcgggag gagtgcctgg caggcccctc accacctctg cctacctcag 10201 tgaagttccc ttgtgggagg ccctggaagc ggatggagaa gaagcgcagt cacctgaaac 10261 gagacacaga agaccaagaa gaccaagtag atccgcggct cattgatggg aagatgacca 10321 ggcggggaga cagcccctgg caggtgggag gcgaggcagc accggctgct cacgtgctgg 10381 gtccgggatc actgagtcca tcctggcagc tatgctcagg gtgcagaaac cgagagggaa 10441 gcgctgccat tgcgtttggg ggatgatgaa ggtgggggat gcttcaggga aagatggacg 10501 caacctgagg ggagaggagc agccagggtg ggtgagggga ggggcatggg ggcatggagg 10561 ggtctgcagg agggagggtt acagtttcta aaaagagctg gaaagacact gctctgctgg 10621 cgggatttta ggcagaagcc ctgctgatgg gagagggcta ggagggaggg ccgggcctga 10681 gtacccctcc agcctccaca tgggaactga cacttactgg gttcccctct ctgccaggca 10741 tgggggagat aggaaccaac aagtgggagt atttgccctg gggactcaga ctctgcaagg 10801 gtcaggaccc caaagacccg gcagcccagt gggaccacag ccaggacggc ccttcaagat 10861 aggggctgag ggaggcccaa ggggaacatc caggcagcct gggggccaca aagtcttcct 10921 ggaagacaca aggcctggcc aagcctctaa ggatgagagg agctcgctgg gcgatgttgg 10981 gtgtggctga gggtgactga aacagtatga acagtgcagg aacagcatgg gcaaaggcag 11041 gaagacaccc tgggacaggc tgacactgta aaatgggcaa aaatagaaaa cgccagaaag 11101 ggcctaagcc tatgcccata tgaccaggga acccaggaaa gtgcatatga aacccaggtg 11161 ccctggactg gaggctgtca ggaggcagcc ctgtgatgtc atcatcccac cccattccag 11221 gtggtcctgc tggactcaaa gaagaagctg gcctgcgggg cagtgctcat ccacccctcc 11281 tgggtgctga cagcggccca ctgcatggat gagtccaaga agctccttgt caggcttggt 11341 atgggctgga gccaggcaga agggggctgc cagaggcctg ggtaggggga ccaggcaggc 11401 tgttcaggtt tgggggaccc cgctccccag gtgcttaagc aagaggcttc ttgagctcca 11461 cagaaggtgt ttggggggaa gaggcctatg tgcccccacc ctgcccaccc atgtacaccc 11521 agtattttgc agtagggggt tctctggtgc cctcttcgaa tctgggcaca ggtacctgca 11581 cacacatgtt tgtgaggggc tacacagacc ttcacctctc cactcccact catgaggagc 11641 aggctgtgtg ggcctcagca cccttgggtg cagagaccag caaggcctgg cctcagggct 11701 gtgcctccca cagactgaca gggatggagc tgtacagagg gagccctagc atctgccaaa 11761 gccacaagct gcttccctag caggctgggg gcacctatgc attggccccg atctatggca 11821 atttctggag ggggggtctg gctcaactct ttatgccaaa aagaaggcaa agcatattga 11881 gaaaggccaa attcacattt cctacagcat aatctatggc cagtggcccc ccgtggggct 11941 tggcttagaa ttcccaggtg ctcttcccag ggaaccatca gtctggactg agaggacctt 12001 ctctctcagg tgggacccgg ccctgtcctc cctggcagtg ccgtgttctg ggggtcctcc 12061 tctctgggtc tcactgcccc tggggtctct ccagctacct ttgctccaNg ttcctttgtg 12121 gctctggtct gtgtctgggg tttccagggg tctcgggctt ccctgctgcc cattccttct 12181 ctggtctcac ggctccgtga ctcctgaaaa ccaaccagca tcctacccct ttgggattga 12241 cacctgttgg ccactccttc tggcaggaaa agtcaccgtt gatagggttc cacggcatag 12301 acaggtggct ccgcgccagt gcctgggacg tgtgggtgca cagtctccgg gtgaaccttc 12361 ttcaggccct ctgcccaggc ctgcaggggc acagcagtgg gtgggcctca ggaaagtgcc 12421 actggggaga ggctccccgc agcccactct gactgtgccc tctgccctgc aggagagtat 12481 gacctgcggc gctgggagaa gtgggagctg gacctggaca tcaaggaggt cttcgtccac 12541 cccaactaca gcaagagcac caccgacaat gacatcgcac tgctgcacct ggcccagccc 12601 gccaccctct cgcagaccat agtgcccatc tgcctcccgg acagcggcct tgcagagcgc 12661 gagctcaatc aggccggcca ggagaccctc gtgacgggct ggggctacca cagcagccga 12721 gagaaggagg ccaagagaaa ccgcaccttc gtcctcaact tcatcaagat tcccgtggtc 12781 ccgcacaatg agtgcagcga ggtcatgagc aacatggtgt ctgagaacat gctgtgtgcg 12841 ggcatcctcg gggaccggca ggatgcctgc gagggcgaca gtggggggcc catggtcgcc 12901 tccttccacg gcacctggtt cctggtgggc ctggtgagct ggggtgaggg ctgtgggctc 12961 cttcacaact acggcgttta caccaaagtc agccgctacc tcgactggat ccatgggcac 13021 atcagagaca aggaagcccc ccagaagagc tgggcacctt agcgaccctc cctgcagggc 13081 tgggcttttg catggcaatg gatgggacat taaagggaca tgtaacaagc acaccggcct 13141 gctgttctgt ccttccatcc ctcttttggg ctcttctgga gggaagtaac atttactgag 13201 cacctgttgt atgtcacatg ccttatgaat agaatcttaa ctcctagagc aactctgtgg 13261 ggtggggagg agcagatcca agttttgcgg ggtctaaagc tgtgtgtgtt gagggggata 13321 ctctgtttat gaaaaagaat aaaaaacaca accacgaagc cactagagcc ttttccaggg 13381 ctttgggaag agcctgtgca agccggggat gctgaaggtg aggcttgacc agctttccag 13441 ctagcccagc tatgaggtag acatgtttag ctcatatcac agaggaggaa actgaggggt 13501 ctgaaaggtt tacatggtgg agccaggatt caaatctagg tctgactcca aaacccaggt 13561 gcttttttct gttctccact gtcctggagg acagctgttt cgacggtgct cagtgtggag 13621 gccactatta gctctgtagg gaagcagcca gagacccaga aagtgttggt tcagcccaga 13681 atgagctcac agtgtcgcgg gggaagctgt ttaagaacaa tgttacacca tcatgaacag 13741 cagtaagaaa gaggctctgg cttaacctgg cctgataggc ctaattgaat gagacagaaa 13801 taagtcaagg atgctctgat ttgaaatcat gaagtacctg atgaaaagaa atggtggtga 13861 gataaagctg

The sequences shown in Table 1B, are sequence fragments taken from the Protein C sequence shown in Table 1A above. Furthermore, SEQ ID NO: 2 corresponds to the sequence underlined in Table 1A above. The nucleotide N, at position 8 in SEQ ID NO: 2 corresponds to the nucleotide found at position 2418 of SEQ ID NO: 1. In all of the Sequences found in TABLE 2B below the polymorphism represented by an N may substituted by an a, t, u, g or c. Furthermore, bold and underlined nucleotides represented by N in SEQ ID NOs.: 3-11 in TABLE 2B, all correspond to the nucleotide found at position 2418 of SEQ ID NO: 1. Due to the potential variability in protein C sequence, the sequence motifs below may be useful in identifying protein C sequences from a patient that are suitable for genotype determination. For Example, patient sequences that form alignments with the below motifs (SEQ ID NO: 3-11) may indicate that the patient sequence is a protein C sequence and that the bold and underlined N corresponds to the polymorphism at position 2418 of SEQ ID NO: 1 and is therefore suitable for genotype determination. A similar strategy may be applied to the other polymorphism sites identified herein.

TABLE 1B SEQ ID NO: SEQUENCE SEQ ID NO: 2 ccttggtNgg cagaggtggg SEQ ID NO: 3 tggaNggcat ccttggtNgg SEQ ID NO: 4 Nggcagaggt gggcttcggg SEQ ID NO: 5 Nggcagaggt gggcttcggg cagaacaagc SEQ ID NO: 6 gctggaNggc atccttggtN SEQ ID NO: 7 ctccctccct gctggaNggc atccttggtN SEQ ID NO: 8 ttgccctcac ctccctccct gctggaNggc atccttggtN SEQ ID NO: 9 caagggtttt gccctcacct ccctccctgc tggaNggcat ccttggtNgg cagaggtggg  cttcgggcag aacaagccgt gctgagctag SEQ ID NO: 10 ccttggtNgg cagagg SEQ ID NO: 11 cttggtNggc ag

An “allele” is defined as any one or more alternative forms of a given gene. In a diploid cell or organism the members of an allelic pair (i.e. the two alleles of a given gene) occupy corresponding positions (loci) on a pair of homologous chromosomes and if these alleles are genetically identical the cell or organism is said to be “homozygous”, but if genetically different the cell or organism is said to be “heterozygous” with respect to the particular gene.

A “gene” is an ordered sequence of nucleotides located in a particular position on a particular chromosome that encodes a specific functional product and may include untranslated and untranscribed sequences in proximity to the coding regions. Such non-coding sequences may contain regulatory sequences needed for transcription and translation of the sequence or introns etc.

A “genotype” is defined as the genetic constitution of an organism, usually in respect to one gene or a few genes or a region of a gene relevant to a particular context (i.e. the genetic loci responsible for a particular phenotype).

A “phenotype” is defined as the observable characters of an organism.

A “single nucleotide polymorphism” (SNP) occurs at a polymorphic site occupied by a single nucleotide, which is the site of variation between allelic sequences. The site is usually preceded by and followed by highly conserved sequences of the allele (e.g., sequences that vary in less than 1/100 or 1/1000 members of the populations). A single nucleotide polymorphism usually arises due to substitution of one nucleotide for another at the polymorphic site. A “transition” is the replacement of one purine by another purine or one pyrimidine by another pyrimidine. A “transversion” is the replacement of a purine by a pyrimidine or vice versa. Single nucleotide polymorphisms can also arise from a deletion of a nucleotide or an insertion of a nucleotide relative to a reference allele. Furthermore, it would be appreciated by a person of skill in the art, that an insertion or deletion within a given sequence could alter the relative position and therefore the position number of another polymorphism within the sequence.

A “systemic inflammatory response syndrome” or (SIRS) is defined as including both septic (i.e. sepsis or septic shock) and non-septic systemic inflammatory response (i.e. post operative). “SIRS” is further defined according to ACCP (American College of Chest Physicians) guidelines as the presence of two or more of A) temperature >38° C. or <36° C., B) heart rate >90 beats per minute, C) respiratory rate >20 breaths per minute, and D) white blood cell count >12,000 per mm3 or <4,000 mm3. In the following description, the presence of two, three, or four of the “SIRS” criteria were scored each day over the 28 day observation period.

“Sepsis” is defined as the presence of at least two “SIRS” criteria and known or suspected source of infection. Septic shock was defined as sepsis plus one new organ failure by Brussels criteria plus need for vasopressor medication.

Patient outcome or prognosis as used herein refers the ability of a patient to recover from an inflammatory condition. An inflammatory condition, may be selected from the group consisting of: sepsis, septicemia, pneumonia, septic shock, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS), acute lung injury, infection, pancreatitis, bacteremia, peritonitis, abdominal abscess, inflammation due to trauma, inflammation due to surgery, chronic inflammatory disease, ischemia, ischemia-reperfusion injury of an organ or tissue, tissue damage due to disease, tissue damage due to chemotherapy or radiotherapy, and reactions to ingested, inhaled, infused, injected, or delivered substances.

Assessing patient outcome or prognosis may be accomplished by various methods. For Example, an “APACHE II” score is defined as Acute Physiology And Chronic Health Evaluation and herein was calculated on a daily basis from raw clinical and laboratory variables. Vincent et al. (Vincent J L. Ferreira F. Moreno R. Scoring systems for assessing organ dysfunction and survival. Critical Care Clinics. 16:353-366, 2000) summarize APACHE score as follows “First developed in 1981 by Knaus et al., the APACHE score has become the most commonly used survival prediction model in ICUs worldwide. The APACHE II score, a revised and simplified version of the original prototype, uses a point score based on initial values of 12 routine physiologic measures, age, and previous health status to provide a general measure of severity of disease. The values recorded are the worst values taken during the patient's first 24 hours in the ICU. The score is applied to one of 34 admission diagnoses to estimate a disease-specific probability of mortality (APACHE II predicted risk of death). The maximum possible APACHE II score is 71, and high scores have been well correlated with mortality. The APACHE II score has been widely used to stratify and compare various groups of critically ill patients, including patients with sepsis, by severity of illness on entry into clinical trials.”

A “Brussels score” score is a method for evaluating organ dysfunction as compared to a baseline. If the Brussels score is 2 or greater (ie. moderate, severe, or extreme), then organ failure was recorded as present on that particular day (see TABLE 1C below). In the following description, to correct for deaths during the observation period, days alive and free of organ failure (DAF) were calculated as previously described. For example, acute lung injury was calculated as follows. Acute lung injury is defined as present when a patient meets all of these four criteria. 1) Need for mechanical ventilation, 2) Bilateral pulmonary infiltrates on chest X-ray consistent with acute lung injury, 3) PaO2/FiO2 ratio is less than 300, 4) No clinical evidence of congestive heart failure or if a pulmonary artery catheter is in place for clinical purposes, a pulmonary capillary wedge pressure less than 18 mm Hg (1). The severity of acute lung injury is assessed by measuring days alive and free of acute lung injury over a 28 day observation period. Acute lung injury is recorded as present on each day that the person has moderate, severe or extreme dysfunction as defined in the Brussels score. Days alive and free of acute lung injury is calculated as the number of days after onset of acute lung injury that a patient is alive and free of acute lung injury over a defined observation period (28 days). Thus, a lower score for days alive and free of acute lung injury indicates more severe acute lung injury. The reason that days alive and free of acute lung injury is preferable to simply presence or absence of acute lung injury, is that acute lung injury has a high acute mortality and early death (within 28 days) precludes calculation of the presence or absence of acute lung injury in dead patients. The cardiovascular, renal, neurologic, hepatic and coagulation dysfunction were similarly defined as present on each day that the person had moderate, severe or extreme dysfunction as defined by the Brussels score. Days alive and free of steroids are days that a person is alive and is not being treated with exogenous corticosteroids (e.g. hydrocortisone, prednisone, methylprednisolone). Days alive and free of pressors are days that a person is alive and not being treated with intravenous vasopressors (e.g. dopamine, norepinephrine, epinephrine, phenylephrine). Days alive and free of an International Normalized Ratio (INR)>1.5 are days that a person is alive and does not have an INR >1.5.

TABLE 1C Brussels Multiple Organ Dysfunction (MOD) Score Abnormal Normal Clinically Significant Organ Dysfunction ORGANS Normal Mild Moderate Severe Extreme Organ Failure Score 0 1 2 3 4 Cardiovascular >90 ≦90 ≦90 ≦90 plus ≦90 plus Systolic BP (mmHg) Responsive to Unresponsive to pH ≦7.3 pH ≦7.2 fluid fluid Pulmonary >400 400-301 300-201 200-101 =100 PaO2/FIO2 (mmHg) Acute lung injury ARDS Severe ARDS CNS 15 14-13 12-10 9-6 ≦5 (Glascow Score) Coagulation >120 120-81  80-51 50-21 ≦20 Platelets (×105/mm3) Renal <1.5 1.5-1.9 2.0-3.4 3.5-4.9 ≧5.0 Creatinine (mg/dL) Hepatic <1.2 1.2-1.9 2.0-5.9 6.0-11.9 ≧12 Bilirubin (mg/dL) Round Table Conf. on Clinical Trials for the Treatment of Sepsis, Brussels, Mar. 12-14, 1994; and Russell JA, et al. and The Ibuprofen in Sepsis Study Group. Changing pattern of organ dysfunction in early human sepsis is related to mortality. Critical Care Medicine 2000; 28: 3405-3411

Analysis of variance (ANOVA) is a standard statistical approach to test for statistically significant differences between sets of measurements.

The Fisher exact test is a standard statistical approach to test for statistically significant differences between rates and proportions of characteristics measured in different groups.

1. General Methods

One aspect of the invention may involve the identification of patients or the selection of patients that are either at risk of developing and inflammatory condition or the identification of patients who already have an inflammatory condition. For example, patients who have undergone major surgery or scheduled for or contemplating major surgery may be considered as being at risk of developing an inflammatory condition. Furthermore, patients may be determined as having an inflammatory condition using diagnostic methods and clinical evaluations known in the medical arts. An inflammatory condition, may be selected from the group consisting of: sepsis, septicemia, pneumonia, septic shock, systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS), acute lung injury, infection, pancreatitis, bacteremia, peritonitis, abdominal abscess, inflammation due to trauma, inflammation due to surgery, chronic inflammatory disease, ischemia, ischemia-reperfusion injury of an organ or tissue, tissue damage due to disease, tissue damage due to chemotherapy or radiotherapy, and reactions to ingested, inhaled, infused, injected, or delivered substances.

Once a patient is identified as being at risk for developing or having an inflammatory condition, then genetic sequence information may be obtained from the patient. Or alternatively genetic sequence information may already have been obtained from the patient. For example, a patient may have already provided a biological sample for other purposes or may have even had their genetic sequence determined in whole or in part and stored for future use. Genetic sequence information may be obtained in numerous different ways and may involve the collection of a biological sample that contains genetic material. Particularly, genetic material, containing the sequence or sequences of interest. Many methods are known in the art for collecting bodily samples and extracting genetic material from those samples. Genetic material can be extracted from blood, tissue and hair and other samples. There are many known methods for the separate isolation of DNA and RNA from biological material. Typically, DNA may be isolated from a biological sample when first the sample is lysed and then the DNA is isolated from the lysate according to any one of a variety of multi-step protocols, which can take varying lengths of time. DNA isolation methods may involve the use of phenol (Sambrook, J. et al., Molecular Cloning, Vol. 2, pp. 9.14-9.23, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press (1989); Ausubel, F M. et al., Current Protocols in Molecular Biology, Vol. 1, pp. 2.2.1-2.4.5, John Wiley & Sons, Inc. (1994)). Typically, a biological sample is lysed in a detergent solution and the protein component of the lysate is digested with proteinase for 12-18 hours. Next, the lysate is extracted with phenol to remove most of the cellular components, and the remaining aqueous phase is processed further to isolate DNA. In another method, described in Van Ness et al. (U.S. Pat. No. 5,130,423), non-corrosive phenol derivatives are used for the isolation of nucleic acids. The resulting preparation is a mix of RNA and DNA.

Other methods for DNA isolation utilize non-corrosive chaotropic agents. These methods, which are based on the use of guanidine salts, urea and sodium iodide, involve lysis of a biological sample in a chaotropic aqueous solution and subsequent precipitation of the crude DNA fraction with a lower alcohol. The final purification of the precipitated, crude DNA fraction can be achieved by any one of several methods, including column chromatography (Analects, (1994) Vol 22, No. 4, Pharmacia Biotech), or exposure of the crude DNA to a polyanion-containing protein as described in Koller (U.S. Pat. No. 5,128,247).

Yet another method of DNA isolation, which is described by Botwell, DDL (Anal. Biochem. (1987) 162:463-465) involves lysing cells in 6M guanidine hydrochloride, precipitating DNA from the lysate at acid pH by adding 2.5 volumes of ethanol, and washing the DNA with ethanol.

Numerous other methods are known in the art to isolate both RNA and DNA, such as the one described by Chomczynski (U.S. Pat. No. 5,945,515), whereby genetic material can be extracted efficiently in as little as twenty minutes. Evans and Hugh (U.S. Pat. No. 5,989,431) describe methods for isolating DNA using a hollow membrane filter.

Once a patient's genetic sequence information has been obtained from the patient it may then be further analyzed to detect or determine the identity or genotype of one or more polymorphisms in the protein C gene. Provided that the genetic material obtained, contains the sequence of interest. Particularly, a person may be interested in determining the protein C promoter genotype of a patient of interest, where the genotype includes a nucleotide corresponding to position 2418 or SEQ ID NO: 1 or position 8 of SEQ ID NO: 2. The sequence of interest may also include other protein C gene polymorphisms or may also contain some of the sequence surrounding the polymorphism of interest. Detection or determination of a nucleotide identity or the genotype of the single nucleotide polymorphism(s) or other polymorphism, may be accomplished by any one of a number methods or assays known in the art, including but not limited to the following:

Restriction Fragment Length Polymorphism (RFLP) strategy—An RFLP gel-based analysis can be used to distinguish between alleles at polymorphic sites within a gene. Briefly, a short segment of DNA (typically several hundred base pairs) is amplified by PCR. Where possible, a specific restriction endonuclease is chosen that cuts the short DNA segment when one variant allele is present but does not cut the short DNA segment when the other allele variant is present. After incubation of the PCR amplified DNA with this restriction endonuclease, the reaction products are then separated using gel electrophoresis. Thus, when the gel is examined the appearance of two lower molecular weight bands (lower molecular weight molecules travel farther down the gel during electrophoresis) indicates that the initial DNA sample had the allele which could be cut by the chosen restriction endonuclease. In contrast, if only one higher molecular weight band is observed (at the molecular weight of the PCR product) then the initial DNA sample had the allele variant that could not be cut by the chosen restriction endonuclease. Finally, if both the higher molecular weight band and the two lower molecular weight bands are visible then the initial DNA sample contained both alleles, and therefore the patient was heterozygous for this single nucleotide polymorphism;

Sequencing—For example the Maxam-Gilbert technique for sequencing (Maxam A M. and Gilbert W., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA (1977) 74(4):560-564) involves the specific chemical cleavage of terminally labelled DNA. In this technique four samples of the same labeled DNA are each subjected to a different chemical reaction to effect preferential cleavage of the DNA molecule at one or two nucleotides of a specific base identity. The conditions are adjusted to obtain only partial cleavage, DNA fragments are thus generated in each sample whose lengths are dependent upon the position within the DNA base sequence of the nucleotide(s) which are subject to such cleavage. After partial cleavage is performed, each sample contains DNA fragments of different lengths, each of which ends with the same one or two of the four nucleotides. In particular, in one sample each fragment ends with a C, in another sample each fragment ends with a C or a T, in a third sample each ends with a G, and in a fourth sample each ends with an A or a G. When the products of these four reactions are resolved by size, by electrophoresis on a polyacrylamide gel, the DNA sequence can be read from the pattern of radioactive bands. This technique permits the sequencing of at least 100 bases from the point of labeling. Another method is the dideoxy method of sequencing was published by Sanger et al. (Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA (1977) 74(12):5463-5467). The Sanger method relies on enzymatic activity of a DNA polymerase to synthesize sequence-dependent fragments of various lengths. The lengths of the fragments are determined by the random incorporation of dideoxynucleotide base-specific terminators. These fragments can then be separated in a gel as in the Maxam-Gilbert procedure, visualized, and the sequence determined. Numerous improvements have been made to refine the above methods and to automate the sequencing procedures. Similarly, RNA sequencing methods are also known. For example, reverse transcriptase with dideoxy-nucleotides have been used to sequence encephalomyocarditis virus RNA (Zimmern D. and Kaesberg P. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA (1978) 75(9):4257-4261). Mills D R. and Kramer F R. (Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA (1979) 76(5):2232-2235) describe the use of Q.beta. replicase and the nucleotide analog inosine for sequencing RNA in a chain-termination mechanism. Direct chemical methods for sequencing RNA are also known (Peattie D A., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA (1979) 76(4):1760-1764). Other methods include those of Donis-Keller et al. (1977, Nucl. Acids Res. 4:2527-2538), Simoncsits A. et al. (Nature (1977) 269:833-836), Axelrod V D. et al. (Nucl. Acids Res. (1978) 5(10):3549-3563), and Kramer F R. and Mills D R. (Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA (1978) 75(11):5334-5338, which are incorporated herein by reference). Nucleic acid sequences can also be read by stimulating the natural fluoresce of a cleaved nucleotide with a laser while the single nucleotide is contained in a fluorescence enhancing matrix (U.S. Pat. No. 5,674,743);

Hybridization methods for the identification of SNPs using hydridization techniques are described in the U.S. Pat. Nos. 6,270,961 and 6,025,136;

Oligonucleotide ligation assay (OLA)—is based on ligation of probe and detector oligonucleotides annealed to a polymerase chain reaction amplicon strand with detection by an enzyme immunoassay (Villahermosa M L. J Hum Virol (2001) 4(5):238-48; Romppanen E L. Scand J Clin Lab Invest (2001) 61(2):123-9; Iannone M A. et al. Cytometry (2000) 39(2):131-40);

Ligation-Rolling Circle Amplification (L-RCA) has also been successfully used for genotyping single nucleotide polymorphisms as described in Qi X. et al. Nucleic Acids Res (2001) 29(22):E116;

5′ nuclease assay has also been successfully used for genotyping single nucleotide polymorphisms (Aydin A. et al., Biotechniques (2001) 4:920-28);

Polymerase proofreading methods are used to determine SNPs identities, as described in WO 0181631.

Allele specific PCR methods have also been successfully used for genotyping single nucleotide polymorphisms (Hawkins J R. et al. Hum Mutat (2002) 19(5):543-553).

Alternatively, if a patient's sequence data is already known, then obtaining may involve retrieval of the patients nucleic acid sequence data from a database, followed by determining or detecting the identity of a nucleic acid or genotype at a polymorphism site by reading the patient's nucleic acid sequence at the polymorphic site.

Once the identity of a polymorphism(s) is determined or detected an indication may be obtained as to patient outcome or prognosis based on the genotype (the nucleotide at the position) of the polymorphism of interest. In the present invention, polymorphisms in the protein C promoter region or other protein C gene polymorphisms, are used to obtain a prognosis or to determine patient outcome. Methods for obtaining patient outcome or prognosis or for patient screening may be useful to determine the ability of a patient to recover from an inflammatory condition. Alternatively, single polymorphism sites or combined polymorphism sites may be used as an indication of a patient's ability to recover from an inflammatory condition, if they are linked to a polymorphism determined to be indicative of a patient's ability to recover from an inflammatory condition.

Once patient outcome or a prognosis is determined, such information may be of interest to physicians and surgeons to assist in deciding between potential treatment options, to help determine the degree to which patients are monitored and the frequency with which such monitoring occurs. Ultimately, treatment decisions may be made in response to factors, both specific to the patient and based on the experience of the physician or surgeon responsible for a patient's care. Treatment options that a physician or surgeon may consider in treating a patient with an inflammatory condition may include, but are not limited to the following:

(a) use of anti-inflammatory therapy;

(b) use of steroids;

(c) use of antibodies to tumor necrosis factor (TNF) or even antibody to endotoxin;

(d) use of tumor necrosis factor receptor (TNFR);

(e) use of activated Protein C (Xigris from Eli Lilly & Co.);

(f) use of tissue factor pathway inhibitors (tifacogin alpha from Chiron Corp.);

(g) use of platelet activating factor hydrolase (PAFase from ICOS Corp.); and

(h) use of modulators of the coagulation cascade (such as various versions of heparin).

Alternatively, similar methods may be employed to identify new polymorphisms in protein C sequence that correlate with patient outcome or prognosis.

As described above genetic sequence information or genotype information may be obtained from a patient wherein the sequence information contains one or more single nucleotide polymorphism sites in the protein C gene. Also, as previously described the sequence identity of one or more single nucleotide polymorphisms in the protein C gene of one or more patients may then be detected or determined. Furthermore, patient outcome or prognosis may be assessed as described above, for example the APACHE II scoring system or the Brussels score may be used to assess patient outcome or prognosis by comparing patient scores before and after treatment. Once patient outcome or prognosis has been assessed, patient outcome or prognosis may be correlated with the sequence identity of a single nucleotide polymorphism(s). The correlation of patient outcome or prognosis may further include statistical analysis of patient outcome scores and polymorphism(s) for a number of patients.

Example 1 Patient Outcome or Prognosis in Two Populations Using the 2418 Polymorphism (A) Population 1: Sepsis SIRS Inclusion Criteria

All patients admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) between November 2000 and May 2001 were eligible for entry into this study. Patients were excluded if blood could not be obtained for genotype analysis.

Data Collection

Data was recorded for 28 days or until hospital discharge. Raw clinical and laboratory variables were recorded using the worst or most abnormal variable for each 24 hour period with the exception of Glasgow Coma Score, where the best possible score for each 24 hour period was recorded. Missing data on the date of admission was assigned a normal value and missing data after the day one was substituted by carrying forward the previous day's value. Demographic and microbiologic data were recorded. When data collection for each patient was complete, all patient identifiers were removed from all records and the patient file was assigned a unique random number that was cross referenced with the blood samples. The completed raw data file was converted to calculated descriptive and severity of illness scores using standard definitions (i.e. APACHE II and Days alive and free of organ dysfunction calculated using the Brussels criteria).

(B) Population 2: Non-Septic SIRS Inclusion Criteria

Caucasian patients booked for new elective coronary artery bypass grafting requiring cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) were included. Patients undergoing urgent or emergency CPB surgery were not included because these patients may have already been exhibiting an inflammatory response to other triggers such as shock. We did not include patients undergoing valve surgery or repeat cardiac surgery because these patients have different pre-operative pathophysiology and often have longer total surgical and CPB times.

After induction of anesthesia and placement of systemic and pulmonary artery catheter (these are routinely inserted for clinical purposes at our institution), blood was obtained prior to CPB for genotyping and for baseline TNF-α, IL-6, IL-8, and IL-10 measurements. In addition, hemodynamic measurements including mean arterial pressure, thermodiluation cardiac outcome, and right arterial pressure as well as height and weight were recorded to calculate systemic vascular resistance index. Systemic Vascular Resistance Index (SVRI) was calculated as the difference between mean arterial pressure and right arterial pressure divided by cardiac index. Blood sampling was repeated at 4 (representing peak response) and 24 hours (to determine if the response is sustained) post-operatively. Hemodynamics to calculate SVRI were measured at zero, 4 and 24 hours post-operatively.

Common Methods—Both Populations

Blood Collection and Processing

Discarded whole blood samples from both populations above, stored at 4° C., were collected from the hospital laboratory. The Buffy coat was extracted and the samples were transferred to 1.5 ml cryotubes, barcoded and cross-referenced with the unique patient number and stored at −80° C. DNA was extracted from the Buffy coat using a QIA amp DNA Maxi Kit™ (QIAGEN). Patients were genotyped at −1654 (2405) and at −1641 (2418) using an RFLP strategy as described by Spek et al. (Blood Coagulation and Fibrinolysis, 5:309-311, 1994). The first PCR strategy used here introduces a BstXI restriction enzyme cut site in the PCR product when a T is present at position −1654 (2405) so that the 246 bp PCR product is cut by BstXI into fragments of 205 and 41 bp. The second PCR strategy also introduces a BstXI restriction enzyme cut site in the PCR product when a G is present at position −1641 (2418) so that the 233 bp PCR product is cut by BstXI into fragments of 193 and 40 bp. After incubation of the PCR amplified DNA with BstXI, the reaction products were then separated using gel electrophoresis.

Statistical Analysis

We compared measures of disease severity using dominant and co-dominant models. We tested for differences between genotype groups using ANOVA for continuous data and a Fisher exact test for discrete data.

Population 1, Septic SIRS—Results

Eighty-one consecutive Caucasian patients admitted to our ICU with SIRS were included in this study. 46.9% of patients were AA homozygotes, 38.3% of patients were AG heterozygotes, and 14.8% of patients were GG homozygotes. The frequency of the A allele was 66% and the frequency of the G allele was 34% and these alleles were in Hardy Weinberg equilibrium in our population. Table 2 shows that there were no significant differences in baseline characteristics between AA, AG, and GG groups. Patients were of similar age, similar sex distribution, had similar admitting APACHE II. Approximately 40% of these patients had sepsis on admission and 10% of these patients had septic shock on admission. Eight percent of these patients developed sepsis at some time during their ICU stay and 45% of these patients developed septic shock at some time during their hospital stay.

TABLE 2 Sepsis SIRS patients baseline characteristics Baseline Characteristics Genotype Sex Sepsis on S Shock Sepsis S Shock −1641 (2418) Age % Male Apache II Admission Admission Anytime Anytime A A 58 ± 17 55% 19 ± 9 45% 11% 84% 46% A G 56 ± 15 62% 17 ± 7 35%  3% 81% 34% G G 52 ± 16 67%  20 ± 11 42% 17% 75% 50% P (AA vs 0.34 0.75 0.47 0.49 0.58 0.98 0.64 AG + GG)

Measurements of days alive and free of SIRS and organ failure suggested a co-dominant effect of allele A. Patients with the A allele demonstrated fewer days alive and free of SIRS (Table 3), DAF acute lung injury and DAF cardiovascular failure (Table 3). Interestingly there was also a significant difference in DAF of the use of steroids. The use of steroids is made on a case by case basis by physicians in our intensive care unit in general and are employed more frequently in patients deemed to have severe sepsis and septic shock. In addition we also noted that the A allele was associated with significantly fewer DAF vasopressors. In addition trends towards adverse outcome or prognosis associated with the A allele were noticed in DAF hepatic failure, DAF renal failure, DAF CNS failure, and DAF International Normalized Ratio (INR)>1.5 (Table 4).

TABLE 3 Sepsis SIRS population: DAF SIRS and Key Organ Failure Key Differences Genotype DAF DAF DAF DAF DAF DAF −1641 (2418) SIRS 4/4 SIRS 3/4 Steroids ALI CVS Pressors A A  17.6 ± 10.8 13.6 ± 11.3 12.1 ± 11.9 16.8 ± 12.5  17.9 ± 11.8 16.5 ± 11.5 A G 22.0 ± 9.8 17.6 ± 10.5 19.0 ± 11.5 20.4 ± 10.6 21.8 ± 9.8 21.1 ± 10.2 G G 26.1 ± 3.0 22.1 ± 7.4  23.8 ± 9.8  25.5 ± 4.3  26.8 ± 1.4 25.2 ± 2.7  p (AA vs 0.013 0.027 0.002 0.044 0.022 0.014 AG + GG)

TABLE 4 Sepsis SIRS Population: DAF Other Organ Failures Other Results Genotype-1641 DAF DAF DAF DAF (2418) Hepatic Renal CNS INR > 1.5 A A  17.3 ± 12.0 17.1 ± 11.9 18.5 ± 11.6 18.7 ± 11.5 A G 20.9 ± 9.6 19.3 ± 11.6 21.3 ± 11.2 19.8 ± 10.7 G G 24.3 ± 7.8 20.3 ± 10.0 25.6 ± 5.7  22.8 ± 9.4  p 0.056 0.337 0.102 0.424 (AA vs AG + GG)

Most significantly, the A allele was associated with decreased survival (FIG. 1). Patients with the AA genotype had a survival of 58%, those with the AG genotype had a 74% survival, and those with a GG genotype had a 100% survival rate (P<0.017). Thus the protein C −1641 (2418) A allele was associated with decreased survival, more SIRS, worse cardiovascular and respiratory failure and trends to worse failure in other organ systems.

Population 2, Non-Septic SIRS—Results

To confirm these observations and to test for evidence of biological plausibility of the hypothesis that protein C −1641 (2418) A allele is associated with worse SIRS we turned to an independent population. We chose to study 61 Caucasian patients following cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) surgery. CPB is associated with an inflammatory response that fulfills the definition of SIRS and is correlated with increased inflammatory cytokine expression post-CPB. In this population of 61 Caucasians we found 24 patients of AA genotype, 28 patients of a GG genotype, and 9 patients with GG genotype resulting in an A allele frequency of 62% and G allele frequency of 38%. This population was also in Hardy Weinberg equilibrium. At the preoperative baseline there were no significant differences in age, sex distribution, smokers, diabetes, presence of hypertension, preoperative ejection fraction, bypass time, cross-clamp time, and Aprotinin use (Table 5).

TABLE 5 CPB SIRS: Baseline Characteristics Genotype AA AG and GG p value Age 66.9 ± 12.1 65.5 ± 8.6 0.60 Sex (% Male) 79% 70% 0.45 Smokers 17% 22% 0.38 Diabetes 21% 22% 0.94 Hypertension 50% 57% 0.61 Pre-op EF    56 ± 13%     53 ± 15% 0.44 Bypass time 109 ± 43  106 ± 39 0.81 X clamp time 82 ± 36  79 ± 38 0.76 Aprotinin use 13% 11% 0.84

Post-operatively 64% of patients with the AA genotype developed an SVRI less than 1500 at least once during first 24 hours while only 50% of other patients developed an SVRI less than 1500. The presence of two consecutive SVRI measurements less than 1500 within the first 24 hours occurred in 32% of patients with the AA genotype and only 19% of other patients (p<0.03). SVRI at 1 hour post CVB was reduced in patients with the AA genotype due to a greater reduction in mean arterial pressure (p<0.05) and greater increase in cardiac index at 1 hour post CPB (FIG. 2). The additional observation of a significantly greater use of vasopressors in patients with the AA genotype at one hour post CPB further amplifies the clinical significance of the excessive vasodilation in patients with the AA genotype post CPB. In addition, arterial oxygen saturation was significantly reduced in patients with the AA genotype over the first 24 hours post CPB (FIG. 3).

Patients with the AA genotype had significantly greater serum IL-6 concentrations at 4 and 24 hours post CPB (Table 6). This was associated with trends towards greater increases in TNF-α, IL-8 and especially IL-10 at 4 and 24 hours post CPB. Thus, the protein C −1641 (2418) A allele was associated with more SIRS as indicated by a lower SVRI, increased pro-inflammatory cytokine response, and worse cardiovascular and respiratory failure post CPB, analogous to those findings in the critically ill SIRS patients.

TABLE 6 CPB SIRS: Post CPB Cytokine Expression Cytokines (pg/mL, Mean ± SE) AA AG and GG p value TNFα 4 h 118 ± 45 78 ± 26 0.41 TNFα 24 h 118 ± 45 79 ± 24 0.43 IL-6 4 h 1901 ± 795 713 ± 148 0.08 IL-6 24 h  675 ± 154 360 ± 58  0.04 IL-8 4 h 133 ± 47 121 ± 35  0.84 IL-8 24 h 119 ± 52 87 ± 29 0.57 IL-10 4 h 119 ± 53 42 ± 15 0.10 IL-10 24 h 108 ± 54 19 ± 7  0.06

Example Summary

Protein C −1641 (2418) A allele is associated with greater evidence of SIRS and severe cardiovascular and respiratory dysfunction in a critically ill SIRS population and in a post CPB SIRS population. The critically ill SIRS population demonstrates that severe SIRS in the patients with the AA genotype was associated with more severe SIRS and more cardiovascular and respiratory failure (including more acute lung injury, more use of vasopressors, more use of steroids), but also in trends to additional organ system dysfunction and importantly, to decreased survival. These observations were confirmed in an analogous but completely independent SIRS population of critically ill patients. In the CPB population SIRS was induced by cardiac surgery and the cardiopulmonary bypass procedure itself without evidence of infection. Evidence for increased SIRS in those patients having the AA genotype in this population is provided by the observation of greater reduction in SVRI and mean arterial pressure (MAP) and greater vasopressor use at 1 hour post CPB as well as increased inflammatory cytokine expression. The increased inflammatory cytokine expression also provides evidence of biological plausibility in that these cytokines were chosen to be representative of an acute inflammatory response, TNF-α, and integrated inflammatory response (IL-6), chemokine expression associated with lung injury (IL-8), and the counter regulatory anti-inflammatory response (IL-10).

Critically ill patients with the −1641 (2418) A allele had significantly worse outcomes as indicated by lower survival, more SIRS, more severe cardiovascular and respiratory failure, and trends to more severe hepatic renal (p=0.056), neurologic, and coagulation dysfunction. The poor clinical phenotype of the patients who had the −1641 (2418) A allele was also associated with greater use of corticosteroids. It is suspected that the reason for increased use of corticosteroids, is that the clinicians judged that there was a greater need for steroid treatment for severe shock and possibly prolonged respiratory failure. The markedly decreased survival in patients who had the −1641 (2418) A allele is more pronounced than the associated survival associations of most other polymorphisms studied to date in the critically ill.

In summary, the −1641 (2418) A allele is associated with more severe outcomes in the critically ill for both population 1—Septic SIRS and population 2—Non-Septic SIRS, as compared to the −1641 (2418) G allele. Patients with the −1641 (2418) A allele generally showed lower survival, more severe SIRS, and more severe cardiovascular and respiratory failure, more severe organ dysfunction, as compared to the −1641 (2418) G allele patients. Therefore, the −1641 (2418) protein C promoter polymorphism has diagnostic and prognostic use in the critically ill and in patients who are selected for elective CPB and other major surgeries.

Example 2 Patient Outcome or Prognosis in Two Populations Using the 2405 Polymorphism

Similarly, patients in the above populations were also genotyped at position −1654 (2405) using the RFLP strategy described above. The −1654 (2405) C and T alleles were found not to be associated with patient prognosis or outcome in either the critically ill patients in population 1—Septic SIRS or in population 2—Non-Septic SIRS, as compared to the −1641 (2418) alleles. CC genotype had a survival of 63%, those with the CT genotype had a 71% survival, and those with a TT genotype had a 61% survival rate (P<NS). Therefore, the −1654 (2405) protein C promoter polymorphism does not appear to have diagnostic and prognostic use in the critically ill and in patients who are selected for elective CPB and other major surgeries.

Example 3 2583 and 2322 Polymorphisms

Similarly the 2322 polymorphism was tested and was found to have no association of genotype with survival; genotype AA had 64% 28 day survival, AG had 72% 28 day survival, and GG had 63% 28 day survival (p NS). In addition, although the 2583 polymorphism was not tested as above, this polymorphism is in total linkage disequilibrium with 2418 as well as with polymorphisms at 1386, 3920, and other combinations of SNPs. For example, the combinations of polymorphisms at 5867+2405 and polymorphisms at 5867+4956 are also linked to 2418. Because these polymorphisms are in linkage disequilibrium with 2418, they show association of genotype with survival, organ dysfunction and a patients ability to respond to subsequent treatment, for example with steroids or vasopressors.

Although the foregoing invention has been described in some detail by way of illustration and example for purposes of clarity of understanding, it will be readily apparent to those of skill in the art in light of the teachings of this invention that changes and modification may be made thereto without departing from the spirit or scope of the appended claims. All patents, patent applications and publications referred to herein are hereby incorporated by reference.

Claims

1. A method for determining a prognosis for a human subject having, or at risk of developing, an inflammatory condition, the method comprising determining a genotype of said human subject at a polymorphic site in the subject's protein C gene at position 1386, 2583 or 3920 in SEQ ID NO: 1, wherein said genotype is indicative of the subject's ability to recover from the inflammatory condition which is SIRS, sepsis or septic shock, and wherein the relationship between the nucleotides at positions 1386, 2583 or 3920 and the prognosis for recovering from SIRS, sepsis or septic shock is as follows:

(a) for SIRS, sepsis, or septic shock: (i) sense strand 1386TT homozygote or antisense strand 1386AA homozygote is prognostic of a decreased ability to recover; (ii) sense strand 1386CC homozygote or antisense strand 1386GG homozygote is prognostic of an increased ability to recover; (iii) sense strand 2583AA homozygote or antisense strand 2583TT homozygote is prognostic of a decreased ability to recover; (iv) sense strand 2583TT homozygote or antisense strand 2583AA homozygote is prognostic of an increased ability to recover; (v) sense strand 3920TT homozygote or antisense strand 3920AA homozygote is prognostic of a decreased ability to recover; and (vi) sense strand 3920CC homozygote or antisense strand 3920GG homozygote is prognostic of an increased ability to recover;
(b) for septic SIRS: (i) sense strand 1386TC heterozygote or antisense strand 1386AG heterozygote is prognostic of an increased ability to recover compared to that of the 1386TT homozygote and a decreased ability to recover compared to that of the 1386CC homozygote; (ii) sense strand 2583AT heterozygote or antisense strand 2583TA heterozygote is prognostic of an increased ability to recover compared to that of the 2583AA homozygote and a decreased ability to recover compared to that of the 2583TT homozygote; and (iii) sense strand 3920TC heterozygote or antisense strand 3920AG heterozygote is prognostic of an increased ability to recover compared to that of the 3920TT homozygote and a decreased ability to recover compared to that of the 3920CC homozygote.

2. The method of claim 1, further comprising determining the sequence of protein C of the human subject.

3. The method of claim 1, wherein the genotype is determined using a nucleic acid sample from the human subject.

4. The method of claim 3, which further comprises the step of obtaining the nucleic acid sample from the human subject.

5. The method of claim 1, wherein said genotype is determined using one or more of the following techniques:

(a) restriction fragment length analysis;
(b) sequencing;
(c) hybridization;
(d) oligonucleotide ligation assay;
(e) ligation rolling circle amplification;
(f) 5′ nuclease assay;
(g) polymerase proofreading methods; and
(h) allele specific PCR.

6. The method of claim 1, wherein the human subject is critically ill, and has a genotype prognostic of a decreased ability of recover from SIRS, sepsis or septic shock and from severe cardiovascular or respiratory dysfunction present in SIRS, sepsis or septic shock.

7. The method of claim 1, wherein the human subject is critically ill, and has a genotype prognostic of an increased ability of recover from SIRS, sepsis or septic shock and from mild cardiovascular or respiratory dysfunction present in SIRS, sepsis or septic shock.

8. The method of claim 1, wherein the inflammatory condition is SIRS.

9. The method of claim 1, wherein the inflammatory condition is sepsis.

10. The method of claim 1, wherein the inflammatory condition is septic shock.

Patent History
Publication number: 20110020825
Type: Application
Filed: Sep 30, 2010
Publication Date: Jan 27, 2011
Applicant: UNIVERSITY OF BRITISH COLUMBIA (VANCOUVER)
Inventors: JAMES A. RUSSELL (VANCOUVER), KEITH R. WALLEY (NORTH VANCOUVER)
Application Number: 12/895,295
Classifications
Current U.S. Class: 435/6
International Classification: C12Q 1/68 (20060101);